sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,471

How.Dare.You

0x4bb…2cf3
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$833kvol $37.0M
PnL 30d+$6,654gains $695 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$136win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate79.2%adj 78.0% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$202kcash n/a
Positions63 / 1,303open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 23d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$813kbelow peak −$1.26MOct 8

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 79.2% · shrunk toward 50%95
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d21
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$123kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? · Yesclosed+$115kUS forces enter Iran by April 30? · Yesclosed+$48.2kWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$27.3kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Noclosed+$21.4k

Worst markets

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · Noopen−$211kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? · Yesopen−$152kWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? · Yesopen−$138kRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Noopen−$135kWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yesopen−$128k

Open positions · 63

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No50.0k89.1¢96.8¢$48.4k+$3,798$0
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No46.3k82.1¢94.5¢$43.7k+$5,757+$292
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No24.3k95.6¢99.8¢$24.2k+$996$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No24.6k88.4¢96.7¢$23.8k+$2,044$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No20.1k82.4¢95.9¢$19.2k+$2,709$0
Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboNo18.4k76.9¢97¢$17.8k+$3,696$0
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No9,70469.7¢92¢$8,928+$2,163$0
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No5,92092.1¢99.4¢$5,882+$431$0
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No5,55590¢95.7¢$5,316+$317$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No4,38386.9¢95.5¢$4,186+$378$0
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?No4,45764¢18.5¢$824−$2,028$0
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?No3977¢95¢$38+$7.11$0
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?No1260¢96.5¢$12+$4.49$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No345k62.5¢0¢$0−$216k+$5,281
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes248k51.8¢0¢$0−$128k$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes228k66.2¢0¢$0−$151k−$891
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes192k62.9¢0¢$0−$121k−$16.7k
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?No163k29¢0¢$0−$47.3k−$1,345
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?Yes155k39.6¢0¢$0−$61.5k$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No153k89.2¢0¢$0−$136k+$1,753
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No153k68.1¢0¢$0−$104k−$1,375
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No116k83.9¢0¢$0−$97.3k+$512
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes81.7k60.3¢0¢$0−$49.3k$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes76.1k69.9¢0¢$0−$53.2k$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?Yes64.5k44.8¢0¢$0−$28.9k$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?No59.0k16¢0¢$0−$9,430$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes45.4k24.7¢0¢$0−$11.2k$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?No41.6k80.5¢0¢$0−$33.5k−$0.04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes30.0k21¢0¢$0−$6,283$0
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No27.8k74¢0¢$0−$20.6k$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes27.4k12.2¢0¢$0−$3,348$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes25.7k17.9¢0¢$0−$4,590$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes25.6k43¢0¢$0−$11.0k−$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes25.6k31.4¢0¢$0−$8,012$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes21.8k30.7¢0¢$0−$6,695$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?Yes21.6k28.2¢0¢$0−$6,073−$3.29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?No20.9k35.8¢0¢$0−$7,484$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?Yes20.7k43.3¢0¢$0−$8,965$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes19.1k45.1¢0¢$0−$8,614$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?No19.0k63.8¢0¢$0−$12.1k−$0.41
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes17.8k23.5¢0¢$0−$4,177−$9.21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?Yes14.4k65.1¢0¢$0−$9,399$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes13.9k79.2¢0¢$0−$11.0k−$0.77
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No13.3k38¢0¢$0−$5,066$0
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No11.7k61.9¢0¢$0−$7,219+$3,425
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No11.1k94.4¢0¢$0−$10.5k$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?No9,52550.3¢0¢$0−$4,796$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes9,44320¢0¢$0−$1,890$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?Yes7,45612¢0¢$0−$891$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes7,22110¢0¢$0−$721$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?No5,55521.6¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes5,5006.7¢0¢$0−$367$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?Yes4,37820.3¢0¢$0−$889$0
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes4,0008.9¢0¢$0−$356$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?No3,33345¢0¢$0−$1,500$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?No3,33365¢0¢$0−$2,166−$0.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?Yes3,3205.4¢0¢$0−$178$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes3,31041¢0¢$0−$1,357$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?Yes2,2228.9¢0¢$0−$198$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?No64854¢0¢$0−$350$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April?No59811.6¢0¢$0−$69$0
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?No44469¢0¢$0−$306$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?Yes2324.8¢0¢$0−$5.76$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoRussia x Ukraine Peace Combo95¢457$43479%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?99.2¢337$33479%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?98.7¢3$2.5679%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?65¢15$9.7479%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?99¢2,327$2,30479%35
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?33.4¢19$6.2679%35
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?70¢13$9.4479%35
BUY NoUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?72¢62$4579%35
BUY YesZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?13.5¢999$13579%35
BUY NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?75¢55$4179%35
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?42¢1,082$45479%35
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?41¢55$2379%35
BUY NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?95¢20$1979%35
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?20¢1,439$28879%35
BUY NoUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?73¢1,489$1,08779%35
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?29¢400$11679%35
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?81¢125$10179%35
SELL NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?0.1¢2,934$3.3479%35
BUY YesWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?24¢23$5.4179%35
BUY YesWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?29.7¢5,771$1,71779%35