sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,376

WashTrade

0x4c2…f8ae
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$142kvol $15.7M
PnL 30d+$791gains $1,173 · losses $917
PnL 7d+$447win rate 7d 28.6%
Win rate58.0%adj 57.7% · 30d 50.0%
Open value$2,868cash n/a
Positions22 / 1,032open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.1%of equity peak
Account age3.0ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$144kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 58.0% · shrunk toward 50%44
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes1,96474.4¢71¢$1,395−$67−$1.66
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes89366¢62.5¢$558−$31$0
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes35.4k0.2¢0.9¢$318+$246+$281
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?No41222.7¢41¢$169+$76+$399
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Yes3,50514¢4.5¢$158−$333+$20
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes29.6k0.4¢0.2¢$59−$70+$17
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?No10048¢58.5¢$59+$11$0
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?No12537¢37.5¢$47+$0.62−$15
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes1,6681.9¢2.1¢$34+$2.50+$52
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes24.4k0.2¢0.1¢$24−$36+$46
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes14115.9¢13.5¢$19−$3.35−$45
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes10.2k0.3¢0.1¢$10−$23$0
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Yes1285.7¢7.6¢$9.74+$2.49$0
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes8,0000.2¢0.1¢$8.00−$8.00+$18
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No3,3073.9¢0¢$0−$128+$45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?Yes1,9190.5¢0¢$0−$8.84−$0.35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes1,6705.6¢0¢$0−$94$0
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?No1,09111.5¢0¢$0−$126+$461
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 20?No8692.7¢0¢$0−$23$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes20011¢0¢$0−$22−$0.98
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?No1151.9¢0¢$0−$5.68−$9.18
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?Yes106¢0¢$0−$0.62$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?73¢88$6458%72Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?66¢284$18758%72Sharp
SELL YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?75¢432$32458%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?66¢1,302$85958%72Sharp
BUY YesIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?74.4¢2,700$2,00958%72Sharp
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?35¢623$21858%72Sharp
SELL NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?32¢400$12858%72Sharp
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?26¢556$14558%72Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?58¢849$49258%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?48¢100$4858%72Sharp
SELL NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?59¢99$5958%72Sharp
SELL NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?40¢700$28058%72Sharp
BUY NoUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?60¢1,000$60058%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?41¢700$28758%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?37¢1,000$37058%72Sharp
BUY NoIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?25.9¢556$14458%72Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?30¢399$12058%72Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?15¢300$4558%72Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?14¢300$4258%72Sharp
BUY NoWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October?27¢250$6858%72Sharp