Traders/Unranked

0x4c6…7fab

SportWeather

Polymarket

PnL all-time−$704vol $334k

PnL 30d−$37gains $94 · losses $142

PnL 7d+$35win rate 7d 25.3%

Win rate30.0%adj 30.8% · 30d 30.0%

Open value$221cash n/a

Positions101 / 970open / all-time

Max drawdown−71.4%of equity peak

Account age5molast trade 1h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$646below peak −$644Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

34/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0

Adjusted win rateraw 30.0% · shrunk toward 50%0

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity29

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Noclosed+$20 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,700 in October? · Yesclosed+$17 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in October? · Yesclosed+$13 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? · Yesopen+$3.30 Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$2.40

Worst markets

Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Yesclosed−$11 Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? · Noclosed−$5.82 Will Isack Hadjar finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Noclosed−$4.33 Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of November 2026? · Yesclosed−$3.60 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #2 song this week? · Noclosed−$3.20

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?	Yes	324	30¢	30.5¢	$99	+$1.62	+$0.60	3mo
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	Yes	571	15¢	15¢	$86	$0	+$0.14	19d 5h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?	Yes	50	4¢	6.5¢	$3.26	+$1.25	+$2.05	19d 5h
Will Ceramica Cleopatra Club win on 2026-10-12?	No	3	88¢	99¢	$2.95	+$0.33	$0	ended
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October?	No	92	4.8¢	3.2¢	$2.94	−$1.47	+$2.86	19d 5h
Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-10-12?	No	3	89¢	100¢	$2.94	+$0.32	$0	ended
Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-10-12?	No	3	89¢	100¢	$2.94	+$0.32	$0	ended
Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 Udinese Calcio?	No	3	86¢	84.5¢	$2.50	−$0.04	$0	ended
Exact Score: Coventry City FC 1 - 1 Newcastle United FC?	No	3	88¢	88.5¢	$2.46	+$0.01	$0	ended
Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)	Newcastle United FC	3	89¢	89.5¢	$2.46	+$0.01	$0	ended
Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 1 Sevilla FC?	No	3	86¢	85.5¢	$2.44	−$0.01	$0	ended
Will Plasma reach $1.40 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	29	3.5¢	2.4¢	$0.70	−$0.32	$0	3mo
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?	No	5	22¢	12¢	$0.60	−$0.50	$0	19d 5h
Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	6	6¢	9¢	$0.54	+$0.18	+$1.10	3mo
Will Mjallby AIF win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	5¢	$0.25	+$0.20	$0	8mo
Will Canyon win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	8.1¢	$0.24	+$0.24	$0	47d 5h
Will Real Betis finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	4.8¢	$0.24	+$0.19	$0	5mo
Will Christian Pulisic win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	4.7¢	$0.23	+$0.18	$0	8mo
Will Moise Kean win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	4.7¢	$0.23	+$0.18	$0	8mo
Will Rasmus Højlund win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	4.7¢	$0.23	+$0.18	$0	8mo
Will Eberechi Eze (Arsenal) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Premier League season?	Yes	5	0.1¢	4.6¢	$0.23	+$0.22	$0	8mo
Will VfB Stuttgart finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	4.5¢	$0.22	+$0.17	$0	5mo
Will Universitatea Craiova win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	4.3¢	$0.21	+$0.16	$0	8mo
Will Inter Milan finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	4.3¢	$0.21	+$0.16	$0	5mo
Will Lens finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	4.3¢	$0.21	+$0.16	$0	5mo
Will Atlético Madrid finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	4.1¢	$0.20	+$0.15	$0	5mo
Will Lugano win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	4.1¢	$0.20	+$0.15	$0	8mo
Will KuPS Kuopio win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.9¢	$0.20	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Riga win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.9¢	$0.20	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Lincoln Red Imps win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.9¢	$0.20	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Hajduk Split win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.9¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Sint-Truiden win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.8¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will CSKA Sofia win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.8¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will AGF Aarhus win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.8¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Kauno Zalgiris win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.8¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Nordsjaelland win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.8¢	$0.19	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Kairat win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Borac Banja Luka win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Thun win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.14	$0	8mo
Will Brann win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.13	$0	8mo
Will Santiago Giménez win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	3.7¢	$0.18	+$0.13	$0	8mo
Will Kiin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	6.1¢	$0.18	+$0.18	$0	47d 5h
Will Jablonec win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	3.6¢	$0.18	+$0.13	$0	8mo
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OK-04 House election by 5%-15%?	Yes	5	0.1¢	3.4¢	$0.17	+$0.16	$0	22d 5h
Will Fenerbahçe finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	3.3¢	$0.16	+$0.11	$0	5mo
Will Kevin De Bruyne win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	3.2¢	$0.16	+$0.11	$0	8mo
Will Kanavi win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	4.9¢	$0.15	+$0.14	$0	47d 5h
Will Jonathan David win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	2.8¢	$0.14	+$0.09	$0	8mo
Will Marcus Thuram win the 2026-27 Serie A Player of the Season award?	Yes	5	1¢	2.6¢	$0.13	+$0.08	$0	8mo
Will Oner win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	4.1¢	$0.12	+$0.12	$0	47d 5h
Will Galatasaray finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	2.4¢	$0.12	+$0.07	$0	5mo
Will Roma finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	2.1¢	$0.10	+$0.06	$0	5mo
Will Bin win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	3.5¢	$0.10	+$0.10	$0	47d 5h
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	1.3¢	2¢	$0.10	+$0.03	+$0.86	3mo
Will Feyenoord finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	2¢	$0.10	+$0.05	$0	5mo
Will SkewMond win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.7¢	$0.08	+$0.08	$0	47d 5h
Will Labrov win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.6¢	$0.08	+$0.07	$0	47d 5h
Will Shakhtar Donetsk finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	1.5¢	$0.07	+$0.03	$0	5mo
Will Smash win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.5¢	$0.07	+$0.07	$0	47d 5h
Will ON win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.4¢	$0.07	+$0.07	$0	47d 5h
Will Caps win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.4¢	$0.07	+$0.07	$0	47d 5h
Will Porto finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	1.4¢	$0.07	+$0.02	$0	5mo
Will Canna win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.1¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will kyeahoo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.1¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Pun win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.1¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Hans Sama win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.1¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Caliste win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2.1¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will SiuLoong win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Rest win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Harky win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will Gury win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will BrokenBlade win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	2¢	$0.06	+$0.06	$0	47d 5h
Will AEK Athens finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	1.2¢	$0.06	+$0.01	$0	5mo
Will Lucid win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.9¢	$0.06	+$0.05	$0	47d 5h
Will Kino win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.9¢	$0.06	+$0.05	$0	47d 5h
Will Career win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.9¢	$0.06	+$0.05	$0	47d 5h
Will Shad0w win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.9¢	$0.06	+$0.05	$0	47d 5h
Will Hearts win the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League Championship?	Yes	5	1¢	1¢	$0.05	$0	$0	8mo
Will Breiðablik be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?	Yes	5	0.1¢	1¢	$0.05	+$0.04	$0	3mo
Will ShowMaker win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.5¢	$0.04	+$0.04	$0	47d 5h
Will Wenbo win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will Busio win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will Eddie win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will Chika win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will POUT win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will Bluffing win Worlds 2026 Finals MVP?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1.1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	47d 5h
Will Bodø/Glimt finish as runner-up in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	Yes	3	0.1¢	1¢	$0.03	+$0.03	$0	8mo
Will Lille finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	0.6¢	$0.03	−$0.02	$0	5mo
Will RB Leipzig finish last in UCL league phase?	Yes	5	1¢	0.5¢	$0.03	−$0.03	$0	5mo
Will Evan Ferguson be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.4¢	$0.02	+$0.01	$0	8mo
Will Bruno Fernandes be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.4¢	$0.02	+$0.01	$0	8mo
Will Denis Dragus be the top scorer of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.4¢	$0.02	+$0.01	$0	8mo
Will Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?	Yes	10	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0.01	−$0.01	$0	8mo
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0	$0	$0	3mo
Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0	$0	$0	ended
Will Diego Lopes be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0	$0	$0	3mo
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0	$0	$0	17d 5h
Will Yair Rodriguez be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	1	0.1¢	0.1¢	$0	$0	$0	3mo
Will Riho Ühtegi be the next President of Estonia?	Yes	5	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$0.01	$0	3mo

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp
1h ago	BUY No	Exact Score: Levante UD 1 - 1 Sevilla FC?	86¢	3	$2.45	30%	34
1h ago	BUY Newcastle United FC	Spread: Coventry City FC (-1.5)	89¢	3	$2.45	30%	34
1h ago	BUY No	Exact Score: Coventry City FC 1 - 1 Newcastle United FC?	88¢	3	$2.45	30%	34
1h ago	BUY No	Exact Score: Torino FC 1 - 1 Udinese Calcio?	86¢	3	$2.54	30%	34
3h ago	BUY No	Will Halmstads BK win on 2026-10-12?	89¢	3	$2.62	30%	34
3h ago	BUY No	Will FC Arda Kardzhali win on 2026-10-12?	89¢	3	$2.62	30%	34
3h ago	BUY No	Will Ceramica Cleopatra Club win on 2026-10-12?	88¢	3	$2.62	30%	34
21h ago	BUY Over	St. Louis City SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5	88¢	3	$2.35	30%	34
23h ago	BUY Packers	Spread: Bears (-3.5)	87¢	3	$2.24	30%	34
23h ago	BUY No	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-11?	87¢	3	$2.24	30%	34
1d ago	BUY Under	CA Platense vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 3.5	87¢	2	$2.08	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?	86¢	2	$2.06	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?	87¢	2	$2.02	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Exact Score: RCD Mallorca 1 - 0 UD Las Palmas?	88¢	2	$2.04	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-10-11?	87¢	2	$2.04	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC?	89¢	2	$2.02	30%	34
1d ago	BUY No	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-10-11?	88¢	2	$2.08	30%	34
1d ago	BUY Ranheim	Spread: Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball (-3.5)	89¢	2	$2.06	30%	34
1d ago	BUY Over	BK Hacken vs. Orgryte IS: O/U 1.5	89¢	2	$2.02	30%	34
1d ago	BUY Borussia Mönchengladbach	Spread: 1. FC Köln (-2.5)	88¢	2	$2.08	30%	34