PnL all-time−$1,874vol $96.7k
PnL 30d+$11gains $9.85 · losses $2.58
PnL 7d+$0.68win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.1%adj 81.6% · 30d 95.7%
Open value$1,346cash n/a
Positions4 / 125open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 13h ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,800below peak −$2,355Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.1% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · Yesclosed+$454Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$94Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yesclosed+$78EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Noclosed+$54Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on July 16? · Noclosed+$21
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17? · Noclosed−$883Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Yesclosed−$740US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? · Noopen−$331Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesopen−$231Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Noclosed−$210
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | No | 1,350 | 99.8¢ | 99.7¢ | $1,346 | −$1.35 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | No | 1,380 | 24¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$331 | $0 | |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 975 | 22.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$222 | −$8.58 | |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 24? | Yes | 1 | 70¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.70 | −$27 |
Recent trades
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