Traders/Rank #1,814

uninfromedfloww

0x4c8…b38f

SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+CryptoPolitics

Polymarket

PnL all-time+$60.3kvol $4.41M

PnL 30d+$26.2kgains $90.8k · losses $58.1k

PnL 7d+$6,884win rate 7d 68.1%

Win rate67.2%adj 66.5% · 30d 67.2%

Open value$288cash n/a

Positions2,000 / 13,040open / all-time

Max drawdown−5.6%of equity peak

Account age10molast trade 46s ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$89.0kbelow peak −$5,250Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

78/ 100 SharpScore · v1

Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68

Adjusted win rateraw 67.2% · shrunk toward 50%66

Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100

Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100

Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Downclosed+$5,055 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Downclosed+$3,388 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET · Upclosed+$2,408 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET · Upclosed+$2,028 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET · Upclosed+$1,913

Worst markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET · Downopen−$2,463 Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET · Upopen−$2,322 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Noopen−$2,284 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET · Downclosed−$2,267 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET · Upopen−$2,218

Open positions · 100

Market	Outcome		Avg entry	Now			Realized	Ends
Counter-Strike: Elite Klan vs Royal Foxes Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	Elite Klan	580	44.7¢	42¢	$243	−$16	$0	ended
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	14.2k	15.5¢	0¢	$0	−$2,200	−$84	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	6,940	34¢	0¢	$0	−$2,357	−$105	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	5,183	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$57	−$25	ended
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	Yes	5,080	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$11	+$62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	5,000	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$5.00	−$0.35	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?	Yes	4,801	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.66	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	4,716	47.7¢	0¢	$0	−$2,250	−$72	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	3,820	57.9¢	0¢	$0	−$2,210	−$7.49	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	3,777	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$6.11	−$13	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	3,751	39.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1,495	−$62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	3,679	29.7¢	0¢	$0	−$1,094	−$48	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	3,657	54.2¢	0¢	$0	−$1,981	−$62	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	3,637	21.5¢	0¢	$0	−$782	−$42	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	3,623	16.3¢	0¢	$0	−$591	−$15	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	3,596	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$6.19	−$46	ended
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	3,581	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$14	−$0.50	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	3,300	48.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1,615	−$54	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	3,123	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$8.87	−$0.41	ended
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	3,023	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$9.07	−$0.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	3,000	1.3¢	0¢	$0	−$40	−$1.30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	2,855	0.8¢	0¢	$0	−$22	−$1.55	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	2,606	1¢	0¢	$0	−$26	−$0.87	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	2,453	59.9¢	0¢	$0	−$1,469	−$30	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	2,421	20.3¢	0¢	$0	−$492	−$24	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	2,363	15.1¢	0¢	$0	−$356	−$20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	2,236	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$7.04	−$4.78	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?	Yes	2,196	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$5.09	−$2.21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	2,103	1.5¢	0¢	$0	−$32	−$0.45	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	2,051	2¢	0¢	$0	−$41	−$0.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	2,001	21.3¢	0¢	$0	−$427	−$23	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	2,000	-0.6¢	0¢	$0	+$12	−$456	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	1,996	43.2¢	0¢	$0	−$862	−$24	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	1,939	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$1.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	1,906	44.1¢	0¢	$0	−$840	−$17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	1,903	17.2¢	0¢	$0	−$327	−$5.47	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?	Yes	1,873	2.7¢	0¢	$0	−$50	+$2.55	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,869	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$21	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	1,856	34.8¢	0¢	$0	−$646	−$0.19	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	1,797	46¢	0¢	$0	−$827	−$28	ended
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	1,776	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$9.94	−$0.34	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	1,727	41.5¢	0¢	$0	−$717	−$21	ended
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	1,714	0.3¢	0¢	$0	−$4.40	−$3.02	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	1,690	37.8¢	0¢	$0	−$638	−$17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	1,648	6.1¢	0¢	$0	−$100	−$4.16	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	1,636	5¢	0¢	$0	−$82	−$2.65	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	1,590	39.8¢	0¢	$0	−$632	−$22	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	Yes	1,589	0.6¢	0¢	$0	−$9.35	−$0.46	ended
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 8?	Yes	1,578	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$3.16	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	1,567	4.1¢	0¢	$0	−$65	−$3.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	1,526	34.3¢	0¢	$0	−$524	−$11	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	Yes	1,501	0.1¢	0¢	$0	−$1.50	−$1.70	ended
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	1,490	22.4¢	0¢	$0	−$335	−$1.83	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	1,469	49.6¢	0¢	$0	−$729	−$17	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	1,461	38.3¢	0¢	$0	−$559	−$6.09	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	1,381	1.7¢	0¢	$0	−$24	−$0.92	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	1,376	28.9¢	0¢	$0	−$397	−$14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	1,374	16.8¢	0¢	$0	−$230	−$6.94	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	1,371	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$5.10	−$3.33	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	1,371	35.7¢	0¢	$0	−$489	−$22	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	1,361	6.9¢	0¢	$0	−$94	−$4.37	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 9?	Yes	1,345	1.4¢	0¢	$0	−$19	−$0.20	ended
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	1,345	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$3.29	−$0.16	ended
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	1,339	4.6¢	0¢	$0	−$62	−$40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	1,326	8.6¢	0¢	$0	−$115	−$5.51	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 27, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	1,321	37.8¢	0¢	$0	−$500	−$20	ended
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	1,312	38¢	0¢	$0	−$499	$0	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	1,312	8¢	0¢	$0	−$105	−$4.07	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	1,287	47¢	0¢	$0	−$605	−$8.76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?	Yes	1,274	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$9.38	+$0.03	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	1,269	57.3¢	0¢	$0	−$727	−$5.53	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	1,260	52.7¢	0¢	$0	−$663	−$21	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	1,250	43¢	0¢	$0	−$537	−$21	ended
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 29?	Yes	1,231	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$29	−$5.76	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	1,229	1.6¢	0¢	$0	−$20	−$0.03	ended
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	1,226	0.5¢	0¢	$0	−$6.38	−$2.54	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	1,222	4.5¢	0¢	$0	−$55	−$3.20	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	1,212	27.2¢	0¢	$0	−$330	−$15	ended
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?	No	1,211	41.2¢	0¢	$0	−$499	$0	ended
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?	No	1,208	7¢	0¢	$0	−$85	+$14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	1,197	5.9¢	0¢	$0	−$70	−$2.58	ended
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	1,197	0.7¢	0¢	$0	−$8.49	−$0.37	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	1,193	58.4¢	0¢	$0	−$697	−$18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	1,189	52.5¢	0¢	$0	−$624	−$19	ended
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	1,170	1¢	0¢	$0	−$12	−$0.14	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	1,155	17.5¢	0¢	$0	−$202	−$7.64	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	1,150	2¢	0¢	$0	−$23	−$1.58	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	1,143	21.1¢	0¢	$0	−$241	−$13	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	1,130	3.8¢	0¢	$0	−$43	−$1.50	ended
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	1,128	1.1¢	0¢	$0	−$12	+$46	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	1,119	1.6¢	0¢	$0	−$18	−$0.82	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	1,114	45.2¢	0¢	$0	−$504	−$18	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	1,108	1¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.40	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	1,103	1¢	0¢	$0	−$11	−$0.76	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	1,100	2¢	0¢	$0	−$22	$0	ended
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	1,099	5.3¢	0¢	$0	−$58	−$0.60	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	1,097	35.7¢	0¢	$0	−$391	−$2.85	ended
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	1,094	0.2¢	0¢	$0	−$2.28	−$0.59	ended
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	1,093	0.4¢	0¢	$0	−$3.97	−$6.01	ended
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	1,091	2.3¢	0¢	$0	−$25	−$1.69	ended

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s

Time	Side	Market	Price	Shares	Value	Trader WR	Sharp	Flags
46s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	66¢	5	$3.30	67%	78	Sharp
46s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	19.8¢	5	$1.08	67%	78	Sharp
47s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	84¢	5	$4.20	67%	78	Sharp
49s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	71¢	5	$3.55	67%	78	Sharp
49s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	70¢	5	$3.50	67%	78	Sharp
50s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	70¢	5	$3.50	67%	78	Sharp
52s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	86¢	5	$4.30	67%	78	Sharp
56s ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	89¢	35	$31	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	28¢	65	$18	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	29¢	17	$4.78	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	28¢	151	$42	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1¢	65	$0.65	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	1¢	24	$0.24	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	12.7¢	34	$4.37	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	14¢	10	$1.34	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	94¢	5	$4.70	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	89¢	5	$4.45	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	85¢	5	$4.25	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Down	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	19.7¢	44	$8.68	67%	78	Sharp
1h ago	BUY Up	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	84¢	5	$4.20	67%	78	Sharp