PnL all-time−$149vol $12.2k
PnL 30d+$245gains $179 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$55win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate83.3%adj 68.2% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$1,094cash n/a
Positions6 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−74.8%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$90below peak −$124Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
29/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 83.3% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d94
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity25
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? · Yesclosed−$445Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? · Noclosed−$204Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yesopen−$100Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? · Noopen−$100Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? · Noclosed−$56
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by October 31? | No | 409 | 86¢ | 91.5¢ | $375 | +$23 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? | No | 392 | 79¢ | 86¢ | $337 | +$27 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 255 | 80¢ | 84.5¢ | $215 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026? | No | 247 | 70¢ | 67.5¢ | $167 | −$6.18 | $0 | |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Yes | 345 | 29¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 | |
| Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+? | No | 164 | 61¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
Recent trades
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