sharpside
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Traders/Rank #3,360

Vvv

0x4cd…5b25
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$11.3kvol $2.11M
PnL 30d+$4,914gains $1,622 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,325win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate76.7%adj 68.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$120kcash n/a
Positions14 / 57open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.6ylast trade 1mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$6,684below peak −$3,413Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

22/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.7% · shrunk toward 50%71
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable59
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 14

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes117k87.5¢90.5¢$106k+$3,527$0
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No5,43592¢96.2¢$5,228+$228$0
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No5,61881¢84.5¢$4,747+$196$0
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No2,00080¢92.5¢$1,850+$250$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?No1,87590.6¢97.8¢$1,834+$134$0
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No60882.2¢97¢$590+$90$0
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No9580¢96.3¢$91+$15$0
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes1,000,0000.2¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No4,58195.5¢0¢$0−$4,375$0
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No2,51786¢0¢$0−$2,166−$12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No1,50085¢0¢$0−$1,275$0
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?No1,09391.5¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?Yes49122.6¢0¢$0−$111$0
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes44565.1¢0¢$0−$290$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢3,979$3,50277%22
SELL NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?93¢40.5k$37.6k77%22Whale
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88.8¢22.5k$20.0k77%22Whale
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢22.7k$20.0k77%22Whale
SELL YesWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?79.6¢2,976$2,37077%22
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?99.9¢7,499$7,49177%22
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?86¢38.8k$33.3k77%22Whale
SELL NoWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?98¢2,845$2,78977%22
SELL NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?94.4¢5,000$4,72277%22
SELL NoWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?96.1¢6,375$6,12777%22
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?92.3¢648$59977%22
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?92.8¢4,745$4,40177%22
SELL NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?99.5¢8,281$8,24077%22
SELL NoWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?99.5¢3,333$3,31677%22
SELL NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?99.6¢2,364$2,35377%22
BUY NoWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?91¢22.0k$20.0k77%22Whale
BUY NoWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?92¢3,625$3,33577%22
BUY NoWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?90.7¢2,205$2,00077%22
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?93¢5,000$4,65077%22
BUY NoWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?92.8¢571$53077%22