sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,374

qrpenc

0x4ce…abad
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$142kvol $226M
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate89.4%adj 87.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$2.00cash n/a
Positions834 / 2,816open / all-time
Max drawdown−0.1%of equity peak
Account age2.4ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$333kbelow peak −$107Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

73/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 89.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes20¢100¢$2.00+$2.00$0
Will Kanye West win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes29.4M3.1¢0¢$0−$902k−$8,150
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes29.0M3.1¢0¢$0−$890k−$20.4k
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes28.8M3.1¢0¢$0−$882k−$28.0k
Will AOC win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes28.7M3.1¢0¢$0−$879k−$31.0k
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes28.4M3.1¢0¢$0−$870k−$39.6k
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes27.5M3.1¢0¢$0−$842k−$66.4k
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes25.2M3.1¢0¢$0−$771k−$45.3k
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes25.2M3.1¢0¢$0−$768k−$122k
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes24.4M3.1¢0¢$0−$746k−$160k
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes22.7M3.1¢0¢$0−$693k−$204k
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes22.3M3.1¢0¢$0−$681k−$222k
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes21.6M3.1¢0¢$0−$660k−$176k
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes21.3M3.1¢0¢$0−$652k−$207k
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes21.3M3.1¢0¢$0−$652k−$227k
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes13.8M3.1¢0¢$0−$424k−$446k
Will Elizabeth Warren win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.22M3.1¢0¢$0−$130k−$6,493
Will Chris Christie win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.20M3.1¢0¢$0−$130k−$7,035
Will Kanye West win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.20M3.1¢0¢$0−$130k−$7,038
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.19M3.1¢0¢$0−$129k−$7,398
Will Bernie Sanders win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.19M3.1¢0¢$0−$129k−$7,484
Biden wins the Popular Vote?Yes4.16M3.1¢0¢$0−$129k−$7,198
Will AOC win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.15M3.1¢0¢$0−$128k−$8,547
Will Gavin Newsom win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes4.09M3.1¢0¢$0−$126k−$10.1k
Will Ron DeSantis win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.79M3.1¢0¢$0−$117k−$19.5k
Will Nikki Haley win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes3.60M3.1¢0¢$0−$111k−$25.6k
Will RFK Jr. win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes2.76M3.1¢0¢$0−$84.8k−$50.1k
Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes2.10M3.1¢0¢$0−$64.8k−$67.1k
Will Hillary Clinton win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes2.10M3.1¢0¢$0−$64.8k−$70.0k
Will any other Democrat Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes2.10M3.1¢0¢$0−$64.8k−$69.1k
Will any other Republican Politician win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?Yes1.96M3.1¢0¢$0−$60.7k−$73.6k
Will a 3rd party candidate win the popular vote or the Presidency?Yes385k13¢0¢$0−$50.0k−$67.2k
Will the FED change rates to another level after Nov meeting?Yes201k10¢0¢$0−$20.1k−$34.0k
Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Wood as Satoshi?Yes192k2.8¢0¢$0−$5,336−$9,351
Will Tammy Baldwin be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes187k2.8¢0¢$0−$5,211+$404
Will Kamala Harris be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes182k47.5¢0¢$0−$86.5k+$8,327
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes180k2.8¢0¢$0−$5,007+$201
Will Tim Ryan be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes179k2.8¢0¢$0−$4,976+$173
Will Wes Moore be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes176k2.8¢0¢$0−$4,912+$126
Will Barack Obama be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes173k2.8¢0¢$0−$4,783−$19
Will Mark Cuban be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes173k2.8¢0¢$0−$4,809+$12
Will the HBO documentary identify Jed McCaleb as Satoshi?Yes158k2.7¢0¢$0−$4,241−$10.4k
Will the HBO documentary identify Gavin Andresen as Satoshi?Yes112k2.4¢0¢$0−$2,667−$11.7k
Will the HBO documentary identify Dorian Nakamoto as Satoshi?Yes111k2.5¢0¢$0−$2,740−$11.8k
Japan wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes105k10¢0¢$0−$10.5k−$722
Will the HBO documentary identify Shinichi Mochizuki as Satoshi?Yes105k2.3¢0¢$0−$2,402−$11.3k
Great Britain wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes104k10¢0¢$0−$10.4k−$826
Another country wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes104k10¢0¢$0−$10.4k−$820
Will the HBO documentary identify Vili Lehdonvirta as Satoshi?Yes103k2.3¢0¢$0−$2,344−$11.6k
France wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?Yes95.6k10¢0¢$0−$9,551−$1,640
Will the HBO documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?Yes90.7k32.2¢0¢$0−$29.2k−$193k
Will Gavin Newsom be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes85.3k2.5¢0¢$0−$2,099−$2,615
Will Hillary Clinton be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes80.0k2.5¢0¢$0−$1,994−$2,638
Will the HBO documentary identify Wei Dai as Satoshi?Yes78.1k2.1¢0¢$0−$1,674−$12.1k
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?Yes69.6k2¢0¢$0−$1,380−$7,247
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes64.6k2.5¢0¢$0−$1,588−$2,971
Will the HBO documentary identify Hal Finney as Satoshi?Yes60.1k2.1¢0¢$0−$1,238−$8,334
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes39.3k6.3¢0¢$0−$2,481−$16.0k
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes37.2k6.3¢0¢$0−$2,350−$15.5k
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes34.7k6.3¢0¢$0−$2,195−$16.2k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes34.1k3.1¢0¢$0−$1,054+$8.53M
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes29.4k50¢0¢$0−$14.7k−$245k
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes24.6k10¢0¢$0−$2,453−$51.5k
Will the HBO documentary identify Nick Szabo as Satoshi?Yes22.1k2.1¢0¢$0−$453+$15.5k
Will Fed cut interest rates 1 time in 2024?Yes16.5k0¢0¢$0$0−$462
Will Fed cut interest rates 0 times in 2024?Yes16.5k0¢0¢$0$0−$4,146
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes15.5k2.3¢0¢$0−$351−$3,556
Will a candidate from another party win Michigan Presidential Election?Yes15.3k25.3¢0¢$0−$3,863−$21.9k
Will a candidate from another party win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes15.0k7.8¢0¢$0−$1,172−$353
Will a candidate from another party win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes14.0k1.7¢0¢$0−$236−$226
Will another candidate win the MN-5 Democratic House District?Yes12.8k8.2¢0¢$0−$1,046+$539
Will Dplus KIA win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will G2 Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Fnatic win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Team Liquid win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.5k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Top Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.2k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will LNG Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.2k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.2k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Will FlyQuest win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes12.2k0¢0¢$0$0$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes11.6k16.7¢0¢$0−$1,925−$86.0k
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes11.4k16.7¢0¢$0−$1,900+$223k
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?Yes11.4k16.7¢0¢$0−$1,900−$71.2k
Will the HBO documentary identify Paul Le Roux as Satoshi?Yes11.1k2.2¢0¢$0−$242−$11.5k
No Trump vs. Harris debates before election?Yes10.8k0¢0¢$0$0−$4,088
Will Nico Williams win the Ballon d’Or?Yes10.7k4.2¢0¢$0−$451−$969
Will Toni Kroos win the Ballon d’Or?Yes10.7k4.2¢0¢$0−$451−$970
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, R HouseYes10.5k6.4¢0¢$0−$666−$7,086
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D HouseYes10.5k6.4¢0¢$0−$665+$41.1k
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D HouseYes10.5k48.5¢0¢$0−$5,083−$80.2k
2024 Balance of Power: OtherYes10.5k6.4¢0¢$0−$667−$19.1k
Will Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes10.4k0¢0¢$0$0−$127
Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes10.4k0¢0¢$0$0−$101
Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes10.3k0¢0¢$0$0−$33
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting?Yes10.3k10¢0¢$0−$1,028−$29.7k
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes10.2k0¢0¢$0$0−$63
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes10.0k10¢0¢$0−$1,000−$22.1k
Will Marina Helena win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?Yes9,8120¢0¢$0$0−$757
Will Weibo Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes8,3890¢0¢$0$0−$279
Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?Yes8,3230¢0¢$0$0−$658
Will another woman be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?Yes8,3072.4¢0¢$0−$203−$4,404

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 2.0%-2.5%? 1.1¢250$2.7589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.0%-1.5%? 1.9¢250$4.7589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill the Republican candidate win Pennsylvania by 1.5%-2.0%? 97.1¢250$24389%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 160,000,000-165,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?0.1¢62$0.0689%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?72¢62$4589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?28¢62$1789%73Sharp
SELL YesFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?0.3¢500$1.5089%73Sharp
SELL YesFed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after December 2024 meeting?1.7¢500$8.5089%73Sharp
SELL YesFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?0.4¢500$2.0089%73Sharp
SELL YesWill the FED change rates to another level after December meeting?0.2¢500$1.0089%73Sharp
SELL YesNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?35¢500$17589%73Sharp
SELL YesFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?63¢500$31589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?36.2¢10$3.5089%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?64¢10$6.1989%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?59¢5$2.9589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?41.1¢5$2.0589%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 150,000,000-155,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?41.2¢9$3.8189%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?59¢9$5.4689%73Sharp
SELL YesWill there be 155,000,000-160,000,000 votes cast in the U.S. Presidential Election?56¢250$14089%73Sharp
SELL YesFed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after December 2024 meeting?0.4¢384$1.5489%73Sharp