sharpside
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oneoftheppl

0x4d1…01ac
PnL 10k+SportPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$10.9kvol $1.15M
PnL 30d+$5,045gains $9,090 · losses $3,885
PnL 7d+$1,326win rate 7d 55.2%
Win rate54.6%adj 54.4% · 30d 54.6%
Open value$26.2kcash n/a
Positions267 / 7,328open / all-time
Max drawdown−18.8%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 6m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$15.8kbelow peak −$15Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

66/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale58
Adjusted win rateraw 54.6% · shrunk toward 50%36
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity81

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Central Bank of Chile make no change to the monetary policy rate at the October meeting?Yes2,04789.4¢90¢$1,843+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?No1,65287.2¢82.5¢$1,363−$77$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?No1,15194.2¢98.2¢$1,130+$46$0
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat?Yes1,05096.7¢96.5¢$1,013−$1.76$0
Will BYU have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?O 8.51,20258.9¢79¢$950+$242$0
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Yes74186¢83¢$615−$23$0
Will Georgia Tech have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 6.564788.6¢94.5¢$611+$38$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-07 House seat?No60091¢97.3¢$584+$38$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-07 House seat?Yes60091¢96.8¢$581+$35$0
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No1,01849.3¢48.5¢$494−$8.15$0
Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes90051¢53.5¢$482+$23$0
Will the Republican Party win the UT-03 House seat?Yes39894.3¢96.8¢$385+$9.88$0
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No51770.7¢72.5¢$375+$9.41$0
California High-Earner Permanent Tax PropositionYes46786.3¢78.5¢$367−$36$0
Will the Republican Party win the NV-04 House seat?No35090.4¢96.9¢$339+$23$0
Will Trump pardon anyone by October 31?No37459.7¢79.5¢$297+$74$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-05 House seat?No30094¢98.7¢$296+$14$0
Will the Republican Party win the NM-03 House seat?No30093¢98.2¢$294+$15$0
Will Tina Kotek underperform Kamala in Oregon?Yes31990.8¢91.5¢$292+$2.15$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes30092.9¢97.2¢$291+$13$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-36 House seat?No30092.9¢96.5¢$289+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the PA-11 House seat?Yes30092¢95¢$285+$9.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-02 House seat?No30093.5¢94.6¢$284+$3.21$0
Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No30089.9¢93.1¢$279+$9.67$0
Will the Democrats win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?Yes30091¢90.5¢$272−$1.50$0
Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes30086¢86.5¢$260+$1.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?Yes27192.4¢95.8¢$259+$9.21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more?Yes57740.6¢43¢$248+$14$0
Will Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?No28273.7¢75¢$212+$3.53$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Yes75527.6¢26.5¢$200−$8.42$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No74435.4¢24.5¢$182−$81$0
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?No19094.3¢94.8¢$180+$1.00$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?No17595¢95.5¢$167+$0.88$0
Will Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?Yes20382.4¢81.5¢$166−$1.85$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-36 House seat?Yes17093¢94.5¢$161+$2.55$0
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?No47849.8¢33¢$158−$80$0
Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?No15097.3¢100¢$150+$3.98$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TN-04 House seat?No15093¢99.8¢$150+$10$0
Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No15093.8¢97.9¢$147+$6.21$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?Yes15090¢97.6¢$146+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the OK-04 House seat?Yes15094¢96.9¢$145+$4.35$0
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No15177.4¢95.9¢$145+$28$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-41 House seat?Yes15096.9¢96¢$144−$1.37$0
Will the Republican Party win the IN-02 House seat?Yes15094.3¢96¢$144+$2.48$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?Yes15093¢95.7¢$144+$4.05$0
Will Donald Trump visit Kansas before the midterms?Yes18273.5¢79¢$144+$10$0
Will the Republican Party win the TX-38 House seat?Yes15091¢94.5¢$142+$5.25$0
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?No15657.9¢90¢$140+$50$0
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Florida in the 2026 midterm elections?No15186.8¢91.5¢$138+$6.96$0
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-03 House Election?Yes15092¢91.5¢$137−$0.75$0
Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections?No13498.4¢100¢$134+$2.11$0
Will Maura Higgins win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No15381.3¢86.5¢$132+$7.92$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-03 House seat?No15083¢87.5¢$131+$6.75$0
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?Yes15192.2¢85¢$129−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No15183.2¢84.5¢$128+$1.91$0
Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?Yes15082¢84.5¢$127+$3.75$0
Will Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?No15082.5¢83.4¢$125+$1.30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?No13094¢94¢$122$0$0
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No12362.5¢98.3¢$121+$44$0
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes15073¢78.5¢$118+$8.25$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?No15077¢78.5¢$118+$2.25$0
Will Wake Forest have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?O 5.512068.8¢96¢$115+$33$0
Will Mazher Alam win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No12091.6¢94.3¢$113+$3.14$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No15084.5¢75¢$112−$14$0
Will there be 5+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?No12069.7¢92.5¢$111+$27$0
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections?No11594.7¢96.1¢$111+$1.50$0
Will Texas Tech have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 10.521648.8¢51¢$110+$4.72$0
Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?Yes14772¢74.5¢$110+$3.68$0
Will Alabama have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?O 8.512065¢90.5¢$109+$31$0
Will Cody Johnson win Entertainer of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?No12571¢85.5¢$107+$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat?No11093.7¢95.5¢$105+$1.97$0
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No14170.7¢74.5¢$105+$5.36$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes15061¢68.5¢$103+$11$0
Will Kevin Klein win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?No11879.4¢85.4¢$101+$7.05$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?No30030¢31.5¢$95+$4.50$0
Spread: Ravens (-2.5)Ravens30045¢31.5¢$95−$41$0
Will the Central Bank of Chile decrease the monetary policy rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?No9994.7¢95.4¢$94+$0.65$0
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?No5939.8¢15.9¢$94+$36$0
Will "Been By Now - Morgan Wallen" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17?No9097.9¢100¢$90+$1.88$0
Will Clemson have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 7.517744.4¢50.5¢$89+$11$0
Will Michael Mebruer be the Republican nominee for LA-05?No9098.6¢98.3¢$88−$0.26$0
Will Melissa Granum win the 2026 Delta mayoral election?No10090.1¢88.4¢$88−$1.75$0
Will František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?Yes11969.5¢72¢$86+$2.95$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat?Yes8873.4¢96.9¢$85+$21$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes15052¢56.5¢$85+$6.75$0
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-03 House seat?No8595¢95.5¢$81+$0.42$0
Will Washington have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 8.58979¢91¢$81+$11$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes13747.9¢58.5¢$80+$15$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Jersey Senate election by 21% or more?Yes15054¢53¢$80−$1.50$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-08 House seat?No8096¢98¢$78+$1.56$0
Will “Choosin' Texas” by Ella Langley win Music Video of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards?Yes16150.9¢48.5¢$78−$3.91$0
Will Texas A&M have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?U 8.58282¢94.2¢$77+$9.98$0
Will Amos Kipruto win the 2026 Men's Chicago Marathon?Yes7396.7¢99¢$72+$1.64$0
First Round Outright Winner in the Georgia Governor Election?Yes13185.1¢53.4¢$70−$42$0
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No8093.5¢86.1¢$69−$5.92$0
Bijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.5Under10064¢67.5¢$68+$3.50$0
Thunder vs. HawksHawks1004¢67.3¢$67+$63+$4.14
Will the Republican Party win the CA-49 House seat?No6797¢97¢$65−$0.03$0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Yes7473.9¢87.5¢$65+$10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-32 House seat?Yes5887.5¢10.8¢$63+$19$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UnderBijan Robinson: Rushing Yards O/U 99.564¢100$6455%66
BUY NoWill Trump pardon anyone by October 31?70¢150$10555%66
BUY NoWill Vicentinho Júnior win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?46.6¢144$6755%66
BUY YesWill Professora Dorinha win the 2026 Tocantins gubernatorial election?47.4¢152$7255%66
BUY NoWill Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?85¢12$1055%66
BUY NoWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-11?1¢100$1.0055%66
BUY NoWill AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-11?95¢10$9.5055%66
BUY NoWill Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in South Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?68¢20$1455%66
BUY GiantsSpread: Commanders (-3.5)93¢18$1755%66
BUY UnderTre Tucker: Receiving Yards O/U 39.51¢100$1.0055%66
BUY OverCagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.56¢100$6.0055%66
BUY YesCalifornia High-Earner Permanent Tax Proposition87¢67$5855%66
BUY YesWill František Oľha win the 2026 Prešov mayoral election?69.5¢119$8355%66
BUY YesWill Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?82.5¢151$12555%66
BUY NoWill Jimmy Gomez win the CA-34 House seat?75¢31$2355%66
BUY UnderKirk Cousins: Passing Yards O/U 274.544¢14$6.1655%66
BUY UnderKyler Murray: Passing Yards O/U 324.592¢15$1455%66
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party win the KS-01 House seat?95¢150$14355%66
BUY NoWill Melissa Hernandez win the CA-14 House seat?82.5¢150$12455%66
BUY NoWill Hawi Feysa win the 2026 Women's Chicago Marathon?2¢56$1.1255%66