PnL all-time+$1,376vol $121k
PnL 30d+$427gains $653 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$26win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate86.3%adj 76.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$22.4kcash n/a
Positions3 / 54open / all-time
Max drawdown−50.6%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 1d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$2,447below peak −$47Oct 10
SharpScore inputs
54/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 86.3% · shrunk toward 50%90
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity49
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Noopen+$1,087Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Noclosed+$653Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025? · Noclosed+$241Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? · Yesclosed+$226Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Noclosed+$219
Worst markets
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? · Noclosed−$1,153Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yesclosed−$100Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? · Noopen−$40Will RFK Jr. find the cause of Autism before November? · Noclosed−$38Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series? · Yesclosed−$20
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 22.4k | 92.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $21.7k | +$1,068 | +$20 | |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $42 trillion before 2027? | No | 669 | 91.1¢ | 95.9¢ | $642 | +$32 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. national debt hit $41 trillion before 2027? | No | 129 | 77.6¢ | 46.5¢ | $60 | −$40 | $0 |
Recent trades
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