sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,252

chilloutTt

0x4d7…2698
WR 60+1y+CryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$29.4kvol $1.95M
PnL 30d+$492gains $648 · losses $1,615
PnL 7d+$635win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate66.8%adj 65.7% · 30d 66.7%
Open value$3,135cash n/a
Positions41 / 328open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 24m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$25.5kbelow peak −$25.6kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 66.8% · shrunk toward 50%64
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert? · Noclosed+$29.5kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7? · Noclosed+$11.4kWill MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26? · Yesclosed+$5,818XRP above $2.10 on June 27? · Yesclosed+$5,698XRP Up or Down on June 16? · Upclosed+$4,116

Worst markets

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? · Noclosed−$33.0kYoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? · Noclosed−$9,051US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$7,450Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yesclosed−$5,692US military action against Iran before July? · Noclosed−$5,040

Open positions · 41

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?Up3,54255.6¢88.5¢$3,135+$1,166$0
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes5,68188¢0¢$0−$4,999$0
France vs. England: Both Teams to ScoreNo4,66715¢0¢$0−$700+$100
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?No2,65737.6¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8AM ETUp2,00750.7¢0¢$0−$1,019−$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp1,02548.8¢0¢$0−$500−$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown1,0001¢0¢$0−$10−$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11AM ETDown43559.7¢0¢$0−$260−$7.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETUp38513¢0¢$0−$50−$3.04
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETUp37753¢0¢$0−$200−$6.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETUp37753¢0¢$0−$200−$6.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp19152.3¢0¢$0−$100−$3.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETUp9851¢0¢$0−$50−$1.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETUp8552¢0¢$0−$44−$1.48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp5616¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp5654¢0¢$0−$30−$0.97
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown4148.4¢0¢$0−$20−$0.72
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp4050¢0¢$0−$20−$0.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp3951¢0¢$0−$20−$0.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETUp3852¢0¢$0−$20−$0.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETUp2455¢0¢$0−$13−$0.41
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETUp2245¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp2246¢0¢$0−$10+$9.70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETUp2246¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp2147¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ETUp2049¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETUp2049¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.36
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp2050¢0¢$0−$10−$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETUp1952¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp1952¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ETUp1952¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.34
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETUp1954¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETUp1851¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown1851¢0¢$0−$9.00−$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:55AM-3:00AM ETUp1662¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETDown1470¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETDown1472¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETDown1378¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp1252¢0¢$0−$6.00−$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp986¢0¢$0−$8.00−$0.08
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No714¢0¢$0−$1.00−$4,209

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?97¢1,000$97067%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?93¢400$37267%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?93.4¢1,000$93467%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?63¢1,587$1,00067%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?49.4¢341$16867%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?49¢449$22067%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?50¢999$50067%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on October 9?48¢166$8067%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?87¢126$11067%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?90¢327$29467%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?90¢20$1867%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down on September 29?51¢473$24167%38
SELL YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?99.9¢1,124$1,12267%38
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?89¢1,124$1,00067%38
SELL UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ET7.3¢1,803$13167%38
SELL YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?40¢610$24467%38
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ET53.9¢1,855$1,00067%38
BUY YesWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?41¢610$25067%38
SELL NoWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?99.9¢90$9067%38
SELL NoWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?99.9¢712$71167%38