PnL all-time−$16vol $31.5k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate39.1%adj 44.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$540cash n/a
Positions8 / 37open / all-time
Max drawdown−5.6%of equity peak
Account age1.5ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$16below peak −$44Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
21/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 39.1% · shrunk toward 50%11
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable52
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity94
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Trump try to fire Powell by July 31? · Noclosed+$24Israel military action against Iran before June? · Noclosed+$11Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament? · Noclosed+$10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? · Noclosed+$5.59Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 11? · Noclosed+$3.36
Worst markets
Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8? · Yesopen−$29Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20? · Yesopen−$12Will Russia win Miss Universe 2025? · Yesopen−$6.00Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025? · Noclosed−$3.66Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL? · Noclosed−$3.12
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? | No | 540 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $540 | +$1.62 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 690 | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.38 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on October 31? | No | 600 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet 235–249 times June 13–20? | Yes | 520 | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Russia win Miss Universe 2025? | Yes | 518 | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6.00 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or higher on March 29? | Yes | 460 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.16 | $0 | |
| Will Elon tweet 240–254 times August 1–August 8? | Yes | 302 | 9.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$29 | $0 | |
| Will Google have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | Yes | 240 | 0.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.68 | $0 |
Recent trades
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