sharpside
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Traders/Rank #12,727

OrYn64

0x4d7…d7a0
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$1,904vol $153k
PnL 30d+$266gains $139 · losses $39
PnL 7d+$179win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate70.3%adj 63.2% · 30d 33.3%
Open value$6,354cash n/a
Positions18 / 55open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$1,539below peak −$1,962Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

27/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 70.3% · shrunk toward 50%58
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable58
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026? · Yesclosed+$2,093Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesclosed+$2,059Ethereum flipped in 2026? · Yesclosed+$600Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31? · Noclosed+$493Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yesopen+$451

Worst markets

US strikes Iraq by February 28? · Noopen−$3,638Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5? · Yesclosed−$1,115US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noopen−$1,000Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yesopen−$776Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Noclosed−$493

Open positions · 18

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No2,17664.2¢69.5¢$1,512+$115$0
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,95750.4¢73.5¢$1,438+$451$0
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No3,14241.1¢41¢$1,288−$4.17$0
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?No1,57576¢74¢$1,165−$31$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes50049¢80.5¢$403+$158$0
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes42.1k1.3¢0.8¢$336−$210−$12
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1,10026.7¢14¢$154−$140$0
Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes6,7001.5¢0.9¢$57−$44$0
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on August 31?No5,0001¢0¢$0−$50$0
US strikes Iraq by February 28?No4,24185.8¢0¢$0−$3,638$0
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes2,50010¢0¢$0−$250$0
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No1,25080¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur1,0002.2¢0¢$0−$22$0
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?No92624.4¢0¢$0−$226$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?Yes88669¢0¢$0−$611−$165
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?Up7006.3¢0¢$0−$44$0
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert HurkaczNovak Djokovic50064¢0¢$0−$320−$5.76
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeFrances Tiafoe27836¢0¢$0−$100−$3.20

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?42¢1,010$42470%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?45¢100$4570%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?45¢100$4570%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?45¢800$36070%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?45¢500$22570%27
BUY YesWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?39¢86$3470%27
BUY Novak DjokovicShanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz64¢500$32070%27
BUY NoWill Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?69¢1,336$92270%27
SELL YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?61.3¢301$18570%27
SELL YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?18¢1,000$18070%27
BUY YesWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?20¢1,000$20070%27
SELL YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?60.7¢438$26670%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?40¢91$3670%27
BUY NoWill Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?29¢541$15770%27
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?80¢250$20070%27
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?81¢500$40570%27
BUY YesWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?61.9¢220$13670%27
BUY YesWill David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?57.6¢258$14870%27
BUY YesWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?70¢1,258$88170%27
BUY Frances TiafoeCincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe36¢278$10070%27