sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,265

degensruletheworld

0x4da…355e
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+PoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$156kvol $8.07M
PnL 30d+$2,593gains $4,481 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$97win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate67.0%adj 65.9% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$8,174cash n/a
Positions4 / 277open / all-time
Max drawdown−15.9%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 3mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$157kbelow peak −$13.9kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

62/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale74
Adjusted win rateraw 67.0% · shrunk toward 50%65
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity84

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$24.8kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · Yesclosed+$23.3kWill "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? · Yesclosed+$15.8kUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · Yesclosed+$13.6kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$10.4k

Worst markets

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? · Yesopen−$13.1kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$12.3kUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? · Yesclosed−$4,569Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m? · Yesclosed−$4,444Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m? · Yesclosed−$4,393

Open positions · 4

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No9,67374¢84.5¢$8,174+$1,012−$101
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes15.1k45.5¢0¢$0−$6,886−$6,174
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes7,44814¢0¢$0−$1,043$0
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes2,73226.8¢0¢$0−$733+$591

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?0.2¢13.6k$2767%62
BUY NoWill the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?77.2¢1,178$90967%62
BUY YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?52¢610$31767%62
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?29¢1,899$55167%62
BUY YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?54¢110$5967%62
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?33¢5,886$1,94267%62
BUY YesWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?51¢307$15767%62
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?38¢4,148$1,57667%62
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?69¢51$3567%62
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?96.8¢6,274$6,07367%62
SELL YesStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?44¢347$15367%62
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?92¢14.0k$12.9k67%62Whale
BUY YesWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?19.8¢146$2967%62
BUY NoWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?21.9¢1,420$31267%62
SELL Yes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?41¢1,963$80567%62
SELL Yes Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?40.1¢2,302$92467%62
BUY YesWill "The Death of Robin Hood" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?96¢428$41067%62
BUY YesWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?15¢2,032$30467%62
SELL NoUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?84¢1,268$1,06567%62
BUY YesWill "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?40¢6,147$2,45967%62