sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #9,214

arbman69

0x4da…e818
CryptoPoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$402vol $28.7k
PnL 30d+$233gains $1,498 · losses $223
PnL 7d+$548win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate43.1%adj 43.7% · 30d 42.9%
Open value$0cash n/a
Positions23 / 272open / all-time
Max drawdown−99.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$240below peak −$232Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 43.1% · shrunk toward 50%9
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity1

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Downclosed+$270Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET · Upclosed+$151Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Downclosed+$74Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Upclosed+$66Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Downclosed+$49

Worst markets

Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals · Yesopen−$511Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET · Upopen−$263Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET · Upopen−$188Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET · Downopen−$166Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Downopen−$165

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsYes2,05124¢0¢$0−$492−$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETDown1,15013.5¢0¢$0−$155−$9.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETDown51130.8¢0¢$0−$158−$7.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ETUp28193¢0¢$0−$262−$1.28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp24774.8¢0¢$0−$185−$3.24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETDown19878.5¢0¢$0−$156−$2.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown17196.8¢0¢$0−$165−$0.37
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" be #1 Box Office this weekend?No508¢0¢$0−$4.00$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 14?No209¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will Natus Vincere win PGL Wallachia Season 9?Yes2013¢0¢$0−$2.60$0
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes2037¢0¢$0−$7.40$0
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in September?No2015¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released on October 1, 2026?Yes2012¢0¢$0−$2.40$0
Will "Avengers: Endgame Encore" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 22m?Yes2015¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 25?No2014¢0¢$0−$2.80$0
Will it rain in Seattle, WA on September 14?Yes209¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 69.0 and 69.5 million views in week 1?Yes2026¢0¢$0−$5.20$0
Will the announcers say "Referee" 5+ times during the Rams vs Broncos game?Yes2010¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $156 Week of September 28 2026?No2015¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Magnus Ferrell win Best New Artist at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes2015¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?No209¢0¢$0−$1.80$0
Will “The Fate of Ophelia” by Taylor Swift win Best Choreography at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?Yes2018¢0¢$0−$3.60$0
Will Warsh say "Projection" during September Press Conference?No515¢0¢$0−$0.75$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET93¢246$22843%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET91.5¢246$22643%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET94.8¢9$8.4743%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET95¢236$22443%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET95¢234$22243%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET93¢281$26243%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET96¢271$26043%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET94.2¢88$8343%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET97¢5$5.1543%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET88¢289$25443%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET95¢266$25343%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET93¢269$25043%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET92.1¢264$24343%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET86¢5$4.3043%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET95.6¢257$24543%32
BUY UpBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET96.2¢60$5843%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET42.4¢482$20543%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET95¢214$20343%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET94¢32$3043%32
BUY DownBitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET94¢181$17043%32