PnL all-time−$1,154vol $539k
PnL 30d−$301gains $315 · losses $528
PnL 7d−$7.24win rate 7d 99.4%
Win rate99.2%adj 97.3% · 30d 99.2%
Open value$867cash n/a
Positions6 / 8,680open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 29d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,086below peak −$2,022Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
41/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 99.2% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d1
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 9? · Noclosed+$7.22Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 20? · Noclosed+$6.90Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20? · Noclosed+$6.54Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 10? · Noclosed+$5.12Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on October 4? · Noclosed+$4.96
Worst markets
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 20? · Noclosed−$215Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20? · Noclosed−$174Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 8? · Yesclosed−$100Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 22? · Noclosed−$39
Open positions · 6
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12? | No | 240 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $240 | +$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on October 11? | No | 207 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $207 | +$1.20 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 11? | No | 164 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $163 | +$0.85 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 11? | No | 133 | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $133 | +$0.49 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on October 11? | No | 116 | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $116 | +$0.63 | $0 | |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 82°F or higher on October 11? | No | 6 | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $6.45 | +$0.02 | $0 |
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