PnL all-time+$809kvol $4.64M
PnL 30d+$689gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$328win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate73.2%adj 69.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$65.2kcash n/a
Positions11 / 108open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.5%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$826kbelow peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
69/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale84
Adjusted win rateraw 73.2% · shrunk toward 50%73
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable68
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity96
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 11
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 28.3k | 83.3¢ | 97¢ | $27.4k | +$3,879 | $0 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 21.4k | 48.6¢ | 94.5¢ | $20.2k | +$9,829 | $0 | |
| US recession by end of 2026? | No | 6,463 | 73¢ | 93.5¢ | $6,043 | +$1,325 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026? | No | 6,000 | 78¢ | 97.6¢ | $5,853 | +$1,173 | $0 | |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | No | 3,668 | 61¢ | 95.2¢ | $3,490 | +$1,253 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 2,549 | 77.9¢ | 83.5¢ | $2,128 | +$142 | $0 | |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 120k | 6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,200 | $0 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | No | 58.3k | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,855 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Yes | 18.3k | 25¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,578 | $0 | |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | Yes | 13.3k | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,098 | $0 | |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | Up | 2,310 | 16¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$370 | $0 |
Recent trades
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