sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,953

0x4e7…ffb9

0x4e7…ffb9
PnL 10k+WeatherPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$42.3kvol $2.81M
PnL 30d−$25.3kgains $6,430 · losses $1,853
PnL 7d+$17.3kwin rate 7d 43.1%
Win rate43.1%adj 44.1% · 30d 43.1%
Open value$2,577cash n/a
Positions187 / 48,248open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$34.3kbelow peak −$120kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

45/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 43.1% · shrunk toward 50%10
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on October 8?No19773.8¢100¢$197+$52+$25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C or higher on October 8?No18797.2¢99.8¢$187+$4.79−$62
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 8?No13562.8¢100¢$135+$50+$10
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes16320¢75.5¢$123+$90+$347
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No12676¢77.5¢$98+$1.83+$545
Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?No10787¢86¢$92−$1.08+$69
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on October 8?No9099.4¢100¢$90+$0.46−$4.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 9?No8999.7¢99.8¢$89+$0.04−$4.79
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 9?No8999.5¢99.5¢$89−$0.04−$4.77
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 8?No8798.3¢100¢$87+$1.46+$1.88
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes10355.2¢84.5¢$87+$30$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 9?No8699.8¢99.5¢$86−$0.24$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 9?No8996.4¢95.3¢$85−$0.96−$4.38
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 9?No8698¢98¢$84−$0.06$0
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on October 9?No8990¢88.5¢$79−$1.34−$3.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 9?No8976.4¢84¢$75+$6.72−$2.16
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 9?No8682.6¢83.5¢$72+$0.74$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 14?Yes7291.5¢90.5¢$65−$0.71$0
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 9?No6099.9¢99.9¢$60$0$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?No5698.2¢99.7¢$56+$0.82−$165
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 8?No5094.8¢100¢$50+$2.56−$15
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 9?No6068.5¢77.5¢$46+$5.41$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 8?No4199.9¢100¢$41+$0.03−$4.45
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 9?No8649.1¢38¢$33−$9.58$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Yes5014.3¢63¢$32+$24$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 90 and 119 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No3149.8¢99.8¢$31+$15+$9.95
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 270 and 299 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No3199.6¢99.2¢$31−$0.15−$6.67
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 210 and 239 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No3199.1¢97.9¢$30−$0.37−$1.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?No8935.6¢33.5¢$30−$1.90+$0.90
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 180 and 209 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No3192.3¢93.9¢$29+$0.49+$0.16
Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes2997.9¢98.5¢$28+$0.16+$4.86
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No2498.8¢99¢$24+$0.03−$927
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 150 and 179 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No3191.8¢63.8¢$20−$8.67+$0.82
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No1999.7¢99¢$19−$0.15−$11
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have 300 or more Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No1999.4¢98.2¢$19−$0.23−$8.45
Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 60 and 89 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?No1759.4¢99.8¢$17+$6.72+$14
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?No5156.9¢32.5¢$16−$12$0
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1596.5¢97.2¢$14+$0.09−$965
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No1499.6¢99.6¢$14−$0.01−$1,021
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes4420¢27.5¢$12+$3.30+$13
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?No5241¢19.5¢$10−$11+$3.69
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes1039.5¢92¢$9.20+$5.25$0
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election?Yes374.5¢24¢$8.88+$7.20$0
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?Yes205.6¢43.5¢$8.70+$7.59$0
Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 13?No727.1¢9.3¢$6.69+$1.57$0
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 8?No699¢98¢$5.98−$0.06$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat?No694¢96.9¢$5.83+$0.17−$117
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 8?No587.8¢100¢$5.31+$0.65+$3.89
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?No1533.6¢31¢$4.77−$0.39+$501
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in October 2026?Yes92.2¢45.5¢$4.09+$3.90$0
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No414.3¢4.4¢$1.80+$0.05+$6.16
Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes125¢15¢$1.80+$1.20$0
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes56.3¢34.8¢$1.74+$1.42$0
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?No228.5¢7.5¢$1.68−$0.23+$311
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes57.9¢27.1¢$1.35+$0.96$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win Worlds 2026?Yes85¢16.5¢$1.32+$0.92+$3.60
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No187¢87.5¢$1.28+$0.01+$210
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes2,5592.5¢0.1¢$1.28−$63$0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,7042.5¢0.1¢$0.85−$42$0
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,6232.5¢0.1¢$0.81−$40$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31?Yes1,58414.3¢0.1¢$0.79−$225$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 170m and 180m by October 31?Yes1,58414.3¢0.1¢$0.79−$225$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 180m and 190m by October 31?Yes1,58414.3¢0.1¢$0.79−$225$0
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31?Yes1,58414.3¢0.1¢$0.79−$225$0
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes5272.5¢0.2¢$0.79−$12+$32
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,5202.5¢0.1¢$0.76−$37$0
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes1,5202.5¢0.1¢$0.76−$37$0
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes193¢3.9¢$0.74+$0.17$0
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 8?No1913.7¢0.3¢$0.48−$6.55+$2.81
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026?Yes405¢1.1¢$0.42−$1.58+$18
Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?No144¢35¢$0.40−$0.10+$11
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire governor race in 2026?No77.1¢5.5¢$0.40−$0.12+$178
Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be at least 0.6%?Yes816.7¢5¢$0.40−$0.93$0
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes52.1¢7.7¢$0.38+$0.28$0
Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?Yes55¢7¢$0.35+$0.10$0
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes2312.6¢0.2¢$0.35−$5.58$0
Will AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes300.4¢1.1¢$0.33+$0.21+$8.17
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes405¢0.8¢$0.30−$1.70+$18
Will Nolo peak at Category 1 or weaker?Yes4020¢0.7¢$0.26−$7.74$0
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes56¢5¢$0.25−$0.05$0
Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4883.8¢0.1¢$0.24−$19$0
Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4883.8¢0.1¢$0.24−$19$0
Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4883.8¢0.1¢$0.24−$19$0
Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4883.8¢0.1¢$0.24−$19$0
Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4733.8¢0.1¢$0.24−$18$0
Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes4683.8¢0.1¢$0.23−$18$0
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?Yes54.2¢3.9¢$0.20−$0.01$0
Will Álvaro Dias win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?Yes3693.8¢0.1¢$0.18−$14$0
Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes212¢9¢$0.18−$0.06$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?No66.4¢2.5¢$0.14−$0.22+$92
Will Cloud9 win Worlds 2026?Yes875¢0.2¢$0.13−$4.22$0
Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?Yes55¢2.5¢$0.12−$0.13$0
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes2312.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.81$0
Will Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes2312.6¢0.1¢$0.12−$5.81$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 26 and November 1, 2026?99.4¢21$2143%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 9?51¢5$2.5743%45
BUY NoWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?70¢18$1343%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9?17¢4$0.6943%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C or below on October 9?0.5¢20$0.1043%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on October 9?1.1¢5$0.0543%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?55¢7$3.8643%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8?98¢76$7543%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 8?28¢5$1.4343%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 8?19¢20$3.8343%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 8?12¢5$0.6043%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 10?76¢5$3.8543%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8?98¢18$1843%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 9?85¢7$5.9543%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 9?98.9¢4$4.2043%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Austin be 94°F or higher on October 8?1¢20$0.2043%45
BUY NoWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 8?99.8¢23$2343%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 8?49¢5$2.4543%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 8?0.6¢5$0.0343%45
BUY YesWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 94°F or higher on October 8?1.2¢15$0.1843%45