sharpside
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PoliticsCultureSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,340vol $212k
PnL 30d+$369gains $372 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$0.54win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.1%adj 48.3% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$2,234cash n/a
Positions22 / 226open / all-time
Max drawdown−65.1%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,006below peak −$815Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

39/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale45
Adjusted win rateraw 48.1% · shrunk toward 50%21
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable78
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity35

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 22

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)Portsmouth FC91984¢100¢$919+$147$0
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No73799.9¢100¢$737+$0.74$0
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri LankaSri Lanka84679¢49¢$415−$254$0
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No11898.9¢100¢$118+$1.30$0
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami MarlinsSt. Louis Cardinals6352¢50¢$32−$1.26$0
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes17445¢4.8¢$8.33−$70−$334
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?Yes10016¢5.5¢$5.50−$11+$4.85
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes10.9¢2.6¢$0.03+$0.02$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsEast Texas A&M Lions78911.1¢0¢$0−$88$0
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 30, 2026?No66831¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?Yes39019¢0¢$0−$74$0
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?No34567¢0¢$0−$231$0
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State GamecocksMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders27916.1¢0¢$0−$45$0
Will the announcers say "Guillotine" during Holloway vs. Oliveira 2?Yes23330¢0¢$0−$70$0
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?Yes19646¢0¢$0−$90$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5Over17635¢0¢$0−$62$0
Another crypto hack over $100m before 2027?No17524¢0¢$0−$42$0
Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?No5840¢0¢$0−$23−$252
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?Yes222.2¢0¢$0−$0.49−$0.80
Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m?Yes1617¢0¢$0−$2.74+$120
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 15?No577¢0¢$0−$3.85$0
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5Under548¢0¢$0−$2.40$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?70¢879$61548%39
SELL NoKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?70¢913$63948%39
BUY NoKanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?73¢1,792$1,30848%39
SELL YesKraken IPO by December 31, 2026?67¢8$5.3648%39
SELL NoWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202676¢1,064$80948%39
SELL NoWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?69¢797$55048%39
SELL NoWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?73¢694$50748%39
SELL NoWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?73¢98$7248%39
BUY NoWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?67¢797$53448%39
BUY NoWill Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 202684¢1,064$89448%39
SELL NoNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?72¢1,214$87448%39
BUY NoNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?89¢1,214$1,08048%39
BUY NoWill Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?85¢792$67348%39
SELL NoWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?15¢519$7848%39
SELL NoWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?15¢128$1948%39
SELL NoWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?47¢90$4248%39
SELL NoWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?47¢544$25648%39
SELL NoWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?46¢337$15548%39
BUY NoWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?17¢647$11048%39
BUY NoWill Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?52¢971$50548%39