PnL all-time−$30vol $21.9k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate50.0%adj 50.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$637cash n/a
Positions8 / 23open / all-time
Max drawdown−4.8%of equity peak
Account age1.4ylast trade 6mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$30below peak −$44Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
19/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 50.0% · shrunk toward 50%25
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable45
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity95
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed rate cut by June meeting? · Noclosed+$5.96Will Elon tweet 245–259 times May 30–June 6? · Noclosed+$4.41Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? · Noopen+$2.53Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? · Noopen+$2.25Lisa Cook arrested by September 30? · Noclosed+$0.80
Worst markets
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,700 on October 17? · Yesopen−$16Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16? · Yesopen−$12Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 1? · Yesopen−$3.06Will Lance Stroll be the 2025 Drivers Champion? · Noclosed−$2.77Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? · Yesopen−$2.70
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March? | No | 360 | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $360 | +$2.53 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | No | 277 | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $277 | +$2.25 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16? | Yes | 620 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 14 to November 21, 2025? | Yes | 450 | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.70 | $0 | |
| Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 375 | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.50 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Solana be between $210 and $220 on November 1? | Yes | 340 | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3.06 | $0 | |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,700 on October 17? | Yes | 320 | 5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | Yes | 207 | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2.34 | $0 |
Recent trades
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