sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,501

planktonXD

0x4ff…9f71
SharpPnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$129kvol $229M
PnL 30d+$3,500gains $2,296 · losses $1,135
PnL 7d+$1,731win rate 7d 74.7%
Win rate74.7%adj 73.8% · 30d 74.7%
Open value$12.0kcash n/a
Positions2,000 / 103,004open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.1%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 9m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$128kbelow peak $0Oct 8

SharpScore inputs

81/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale73
Adjusted win rateraw 74.7% · shrunk toward 50%85
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes3,2990.2¢14.9¢$490+$483+$92
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?Yes1,7040.2¢13.2¢$225+$222+$9.44
Will Lecce win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?Yes11.1k0.2¢1.2¢$133+$111$0
Will Union Berlin be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes3,0780.7¢2.6¢$80+$58$0
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?Yes5320.2¢10.9¢$58+$57+$188
Altcoin market cap dip to $150B before 2027?Yes2758¢21¢$58+$36+$1.06
Will HANJIN BRION win the Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026?Yes7231.2¢7¢$51+$42$0
Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes3,2830.3¢1.6¢$51+$41+$13
Bitcoin BIP-360 implemented in 2026?Yes1078¢46¢$49+$40+$0.54
Will Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes1,4801¢3.2¢$47+$31$0
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?Yes1537.8¢30.4¢$47+$35$0
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?Yes4342¢9.7¢$42+$33+$21
Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?Yes1850.3¢21.9¢$40+$40$0
Will Bitmine announce that it holds more than 9M ETH before 2027?Yes2845.7¢13.5¢$38+$22+$8.89
Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026?Yes1,7370.4¢2.2¢$37+$31+$0.52
Printr FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes40210¢8.8¢$35−$4.98+$0.26
Will Lens win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?Yes2,8151.1¢1.3¢$35+$4.22+$8.83
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar?Yes9780.9¢3.5¢$34+$25+$1.68
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 10?Yes6383.4¢5.3¢$33+$12+$0.01
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-05 House seat?Yes7943.1¢4.2¢$33+$8.73$0
Will PARIVISION Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?Yes2,1380.9¢1.6¢$33+$14$0
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?No5,4180.5¢0.6¢$33+$2.32+$46
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes5,4130.2¢0.6¢$32+$22$0
Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes6463.5¢5¢$32+$9.91+$0.15
Will Oura's market cap be between $15B and $17.5B at market close on IPO day?Yes4291¢7.5¢$32+$28$0
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes2,0770.2¢1.5¢$30+$26+$107
Will SC Paderborn be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?Yes1,0480.4¢2.9¢$30+$26+$1.77
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?No11421¢26¢$30+$5.70+$9.66
Le Pen endorses non-Bardella PM by April 17, 2027?Yes8228.8¢35.9¢$29+$5.78$0
Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Yes1,0480.3¢2.8¢$29+$26$0
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country?Yes1,1730.5¢2.5¢$29+$23$0
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes1,5620.9¢1.8¢$28+$14$0
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes1,0801.5¢2.6¢$28+$12+$2.75
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?Yes17915.5¢15¢$27−$0.98+$7.26
Will John Turturro win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes6390.2¢4.2¢$27+$26$0
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2,0000.6¢1.3¢$26+$14+$3.99
Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2027?No4935.4¢53¢$26+$8.62$0
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?Yes2,4090.7¢1.1¢$25+$8.93$0
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 in October?Yes5535.1¢45.5¢$25+$5.72$0
Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include M + KD + L + SD?Yes3083.1¢8.1¢$25+$15+$5.95
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes9600.8¢2.5¢$24+$16+$18
Northampton Town FC vs. Oldham Athletic AFC: O/U 3.5Over3731¢64¢$24+$12$0
Will Minnesota use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes5982.2¢4¢$24+$10+$0.93
Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?No7743.1¢3.1¢$24−$0.39$0
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.5T?Yes23910¢9.9¢$24−$0.43+$0.91
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes1,0901.3¢2.2¢$23+$9.54$0
Will LYON win Worlds 2026?Yes2,3420.6¢1¢$23+$9.37+$0.51
Will the Republican Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes6002¢3.9¢$23+$11$0
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $710 Week of October 5 2026?No4129¢56¢$23+$11$0
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes6,5360.2¢0.4¢$23+$9.94$0
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $530 on October 9?Yes15016¢15¢$23−$1.50$0
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF4994.8¢4.5¢$22−$1.50$0
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoSomething9122.6¢2.5¢$22−$1.60+$0.02
Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No6375.2¢3.5¢$22−$11+$0.67
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 GA-13 House election by 45%-50%?Yes7731.7¢28.5¢$22−$2.45$0
Will the Republican Party win the IL-12 House seat?No4632.9¢4.7¢$22+$8.48+$0.32
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?No2629.1¢8.3¢$22−$2.09$0
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes5231.7¢4.1¢$21+$13+$0.01
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?Yes2199.4¢9.8¢$21+$0.85+$61
Will the SpaceX Starship launch from Florida by December 31, 2026?Yes6930.2¢31¢$21+$0.54+$7.02
Will Roma win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,1320.9¢1¢$21+$1.58+$0.02
Will the Brooklyn Nets be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion?Yes3,5370.2¢0.6¢$21+$14+$0.08
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Pakistan by December 31, 2026?Yes4072.9¢5.2¢$21+$9.43$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?No3775.6¢5.6¢$21+$0.05+$6.10
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Yes15313.6¢13.8¢$21+$0.16+$20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October?Yes6843.5¢3¢$21−$3.42+$2.27
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes2,5560.5¢0.8¢$20+$6.38$0
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch?No6138.5¢33¢$20−$3.35$0
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?Yes9824¢20.5¢$20−$3.43$0
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?Yes7045.1¢2.9¢$20−$16+$7.35
Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028?Yes1,3331.1¢1.5¢$20+$5.28+$0.10
Ebola pandemic in 2026?Yes6662.4¢3¢$20+$4.26+$3.93
China coup attempt before 2027?Yes5403.3¢3.7¢$20+$2.16+$53
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026?Yes5913¢33.6¢$20+$12+$0.10
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?Yes1,7030.6¢1.2¢$20+$9.37$0
Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Yes7501.9¢2.6¢$20+$5.25$0
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes6536.5¢30¢$20−$4.22$0
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes7,7940.2¢0.3¢$19+$1.56$0
Will the Republican Party hold between 210 and 214 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1798.1¢10.9¢$19+$5.03+$1.87
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes9231.9¢2.1¢$19+$2.00+$27
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No9026.5¢21.5¢$19−$4.49+$26
Will Sally Doyle win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?Yes1,7411.2¢1.1¢$19−$2.43$0
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Yes4504¢4.3¢$19+$1.12+$28
Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes10922¢17.5¢$19−$4.85$0
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $198 in October?Yes5527.3¢34.5¢$19+$3.98$0
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes8361.9¢2.3¢$19+$2.93+$31
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes28719.4¢6.5¢$19−$37$0
Will Micron (MU) finish week of October 5 above $1,060?No2240¢84¢$18+$9.68$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes9226¢20¢$18−$5.52+$7.66
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?No5773.6¢3.2¢$18−$2.56+$0.42
Will the Republican Party win the VA-04 House seat?Yes1,0452.3¢1.7¢$18−$6.22$0
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes2,2140.6¢0.8¢$18+$4.44+$20
Will Nebojša Vukanović be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Yes4782.6¢3.7¢$18+$5.26$0
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?Yes6512.7¢2.7¢$18−$0.07+$1.83
Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes2,6980.3¢0.7¢$18+$8.48+$2.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2027?No5342¢33¢$18−$4.78$0
Will the Democratic Party win the TX-37 House seat?No7282.3¢2.4¢$17+$1.07+$4.74
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?Yes5623.2¢3.1¢$17−$0.56$0
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes2168.3¢8.1¢$17−$0.54+$32
Will the Republican Party win the CA-04 House seat?Yes5603.7¢3.1¢$17−$3.30$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?10.7¢232$2575%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Trump and Putin meet next in another country?0.2¢253$0.5175%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?11.1¢470$5275%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?2.9¢55$1.6075%81Sharp
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 PA-14 House election by 35%-40%?6.1¢8$0.4975%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.2¢180$0.3675%81Sharp
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?5¢80$4.0075%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.2¢80$0.1675%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.3¢7$0.0275%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.3¢740$2.2275%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.6¢500$3.0075%81Sharp
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?36¢23$8.3175%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?2.6¢200$5.2075%81Sharp
SELL YesWill "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 30m and 33m?37¢7$2.6575%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?2.6¢200$5.2075%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?2.8¢200$5.6075%81Sharp
BUY YesWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?0.2¢906$1.8175%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 5-11?38¢5$1.9075%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?6.8¢150$1075%81Sharp
SELL YesWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?9.5¢150$1475%81Sharp