sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Sunshine963

0x501…398b
WR 70+WR 60+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$2,495vol $101k
PnL 30d−$1,348gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$1,028win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate72.1%adj 65.1% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,913cash n/a
Positions19 / 62open / all-time
Max drawdown−57.7%of equity peak
Account age2.2ylast trade 17d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$2,456below peak −$2,482Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale49
Adjusted win rateraw 72.1% · shrunk toward 50%63
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable60
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d42
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity42

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 19

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No1,00093¢100¢$1,000+$70$0
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?No30087¢100¢$300+$39$0
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No10093¢98.2¢$98+$5.20$0
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No10281¢95.5¢$97+$15$0
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No10084¢94.5¢$95+$11$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes60018.6¢14.8¢$89−$23$0
Will Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes37910.7¢13.5¢$51+$11$0
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes8043¢53.5¢$43+$8.40$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?Yes20023¢20.5¢$41−$5.00$0
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No3660¢94¢$34+$12$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Yes35015.7¢6.5¢$23−$32$0
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?Yes9011¢19.5¢$18+$7.65$0
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?Yes39015.7¢3.3¢$13−$49$0
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?Yes4030¢31.5¢$13+$0.60$0
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes2,0000.6¢0¢$0−$13+$19
Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes1,0000.3¢0¢$0−$3.00+$8.00
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?Yes30021.9¢0¢$0−$66$0
Will Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?Yes8015¢0¢$0−$12$0
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?No5852¢0¢$0−$30$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?15.4¢200$3172%42
BUY YesWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?15.4¢200$3172%42
BUY YesWill Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30?23.7¢100$2472%42
BUY YesWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?16¢270$4372%42
BUY NoWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?84¢100$8472%42
BUY NoWill Russia enter Borova by June 30?51¢30$1572%42
BUY NoWill Russia enter Borova by May 31?91¢72$6672%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?71.9¢30$2272%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?60¢36$2272%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?95¢30$2972%42
BUY YesWill Russia enter Myrne by May 31, 2026?15¢80$1272%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture Myropillia by May 31?87¢34$3072%42
BUY NoWill Russia enter Khatnie by May 31, 2026?93¢33$3172%42
BUY NoWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?57¢44$2572%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture Toretske by May 31, 2026?88¢35$3172%42
BUY NoWill Russia enter Havrylivka by May 31, 2026?86¢35$3072%42
BUY YesWill Giuseppe Conte be the next Prime Minister of Italy?11¢353$3972%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?96¢1,000$96072%42
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?93¢1,000$93072%42
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?96¢1,700$1,63272%42