sharpside
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Traders/Rank #16,625

0x507…0742

0x507…0742
WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSportWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$5,309vol $241k
PnL 30d−$134gains $163 · losses $269
PnL 7d−$12win rate 7d 50.0%
Win rate71.0%adj 70.2% · 30d 55.0%
Open value$2,788cash n/a
Positions29 / 579open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$4,695below peak −$6,843Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

40/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 71.0% · shrunk toward 50%76
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election? · Noclosed+$925Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by August 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$431Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? · Noclosed+$307Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? · Noclosed+$280Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? · Noclosed+$254

Worst markets

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? · Yesclosed−$2,354US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,326Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,011Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yesclosed−$739Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$423

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes1,36995.6¢97.5¢$1,335+$26+$48
Will Tina Browne  be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?No77493¢98.1¢$759+$39+$4.06
Will Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?No27089¢95¢$257+$16$0
Will Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?Yes16295¢93.5¢$151−$2.43$0
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?Yes14884¢85.7¢$127+$2.47$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No15956.5¢54.5¢$87−$3.24$0
Will the Republican Party control the Pennsylvania Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes12757¢43¢$55−$18$0
Gemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?Yes2090¢95¢$19+$1.00$0
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?Yes7278.6¢0¢$0−$63$0
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 29 - July 5?No56050.5¢0¢$0−$283−$4.32
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No50074.4¢0¢$0−$372−$3.20
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?No4008¢0¢$0−$32−$1.18
Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?No28465.8¢0¢$0−$187−$2.54
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?No25044.2¢0¢$0−$110$0
Will ADI win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?Yes23645.2¢0¢$0−$107−$2.24
Will Trump say "Tax" 30+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?No20050.5¢0¢$0−$101−$0.64
Will there be more than 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?Yes17851.5¢0¢$0−$92+$1.27
Will Pamela Evette replace Graham as South Carolina Senator?Yes15037.1¢0¢$0−$56−$1.40
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?No10090¢0¢$0−$90−$0.45
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?No10074¢0¢$0−$74−$0.96
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?Yes10032¢0¢$0−$32−$0.87
Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 6 - July 12?No10053¢0¢$0−$53$0
Will Iran be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes6047¢0¢$0−$28−$0.45
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes6083¢0¢$0−$50−$0.42
LAPTOP listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE?No5077¢0¢$0−$39−$0.62
Will Scotland be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?Yes5060¢0¢$0−$30$0
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?No4782¢0¢$0−$38−$15
Will Senegal be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?No2951¢0¢$0−$15$0
Will Amir Hassan be the MI-08 Republican nominee?Yes2391.5¢0¢$0−$21−$0.07

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections?84¢148$12471%40
BUY YesWill Petr Hlaváček be the next Mayor of Prague?95¢162$15471%40
SELL YesWill Greens win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?95.3¢50$4871%40
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?80¢361$28971%40
BUY NoWill Ledger announce compensation or reimbursement for affected users by October 31?89¢270$24071%40
SELL NoWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?97¢250$24371%40
BUY YesGemini Argon released by October 31, 2026?90¢20$1871%40
BUY NoWill the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?90¢250$22571%40
SELL NoWill Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?92.8¢55$5171%40
SELL YesWill the Democratic Party control the Wisconsin Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?83¢107$8971%40
SELL NoWill the Republican Party control the Minnesota Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?88¢38$3371%40
SELL NoWill the Bitcoin halving occur by March 31, 2028?45¢30$1471%40
SELL YesWill Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?62¢32$2071%40
SELL YesWill the next Grok model (4.8+) debut at a score of at least 1440 by June 30, 2027?59.8¢54$3271%40
SELL No2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House92¢100$9271%40
SELL NoWill the Democratic Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?94.9¢20$1971%40
SELL YesWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?31.2¢50$1671%40
SELL YesWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?52.7¢119$6371%40
SELL NothingNothing Ever Happens: September98.6¢45$4471%40
SELL YesWill $ANSEM dip to $0.04 before 2027?24¢180$4371%40