sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Rebecca-95

0x508…049d
PnL 10k+1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$17.0kvol $853k
PnL 30d−$372gains $196 · losses $209
PnL 7d+$164win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate56.1%adj 55.4% · 30d 83.3%
Open value$11.2kcash n/a
Positions23 / 179open / all-time
Max drawdown−24.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$20.0kbelow peak −$1,019Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

64/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale60
Adjusted win rateraw 56.1% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable75
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d95
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity76

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026? · Yesclosed+$6,597Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Noclosed+$4,692Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Noopen+$4,515Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$2,542Government shutdown on Saturday? · Noclosed+$2,200

Worst markets

Government shutdown on Saturday? · Yesclosed−$2,505US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$2,214Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? · Yesclosed−$2,001Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yesclosed−$1,736Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? · Noclosed−$1,581

Open positions · 23

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No7,00143.2¢85.5¢$5,986+$2,963+$1,552
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes2,40054.2¢57.5¢$1,380+$79$0
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes2,00038¢36.5¢$730−$30$0
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes1,00046¢63.5¢$635+$175+$41
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No1,00051¢63.5¢$635+$125−$38
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes1,00044.6¢42.5¢$425−$21$0
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No1,00141.9¢41.5¢$415−$4.47$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes1,22329.9¢28.5¢$349−$17$0
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No1,19425¢25.5¢$305+$5.97$0
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes1,00025¢23.7¢$236−$13$0
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by October 31, 2026?Yes3,17013.8¢3¢$95−$341$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes7739¢38.5¢$30−$0.39$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes183¢90.5¢$0.91+$0.07−$80
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes4,50015.8¢0¢$0−$709$0
Will 60-79 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?Yes1,1006.1¢0¢$0−$67$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 1?Up1,02948.5¢0¢$0−$499+$10.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?Yes79059.8¢0¢$0−$472−$1.88
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 30?Up57042.5¢0¢$0−$242−$57
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?Yes32456.1¢0¢$0−$182−$23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 27?Up20115.4¢0¢$0−$31$0
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?Yes14021¢0¢$0−$29$0
Will two people dissent the July Fed decision?Yes10345¢0¢$0−$46−$1.27
Spread: Bengals (-3.5)Buccaneers10049¢0¢$0−$49$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?56¢960$53856%64
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?27¢718$19456%64
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?38¢198$7556%64
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢6$2.5256%64
BUY YesWill the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?53¢1,440$76356%64
BUY YesWill the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?42¢398$16756%64
BUY YesWill Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?13.8¢13$1.7956%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?11¢465$5156%64
BUY YesWill two people dissent the July Fed decision?45¢103$4656%64
BUY NoWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?79¢150$11956%64
SELL NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?88¢320$28256%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?8¢35$2.8056%64
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?42¢32$1356%64
BUY YesWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?31¢260$8156%64
BUY YesWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?29¢8$2.3256%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?18¢289$5256%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?18¢705$12756%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?13¢300$3956%64
BUY NoStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?50¢1,000$50056%64
BUY YesBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?18¢1,000$18056%64