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Traders/Rank #7,284

PolyOutlaw99

0x50a…32af
1y+Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$9.40vol $1,455
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate0.0%adj 40.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$230cash n/a
Positions8 / 13open / all-time
Max drawdown−1.1%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1y ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$9.40below peak $0Oct 14

SharpScore inputs

16/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale14
Adjusted win rateraw 0.0% · shrunk toward 50%0
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable37
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity99

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 4

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?No13093.2¢100¢$130+$8.84$0
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes4566.9¢100¢$45+$15$0
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-154No3588.3¢100¢$35+$4.09$0
Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes2096¢100¢$20+$0.80$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Biden finish his term?1.6¢100$1.600%16
BUY YesMike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?96¢20$190%16
BUY No2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 105-15488.3¢35$310%16
SELL YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?33¢85$280%16
BUY NoWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?0.4¢65$0.260%16
BUY YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?33.1¢85$280%16
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?66.9¢45$300%16
SELL NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?66.9¢65$430%16
BUY NoWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?33.1¢50$170%16
BUY NoWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?67¢65$440%16
SELL NoWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?97.7¢60$590%16
BUY NoWill a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?97.8¢60$590%16
SELL NoWill a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?99.6¢35$350%16
SELL YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?66.9¢40$270%16
SELL YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?33¢75$250%16
BUY YesWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?33.1¢75$250%16
BUY NoWill a candidate from another party win Ohio US Senate Election?99.9¢35$350%16
BUY YesWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?66.9¢40$270%16