sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,212

mathrex

0x50b…1640
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+PoliticsOtherCrypto
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$15.2kvol $186k
PnL 30d+$413gains $2,179 · losses $22
PnL 7d−$1,464win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate84.2%adj 75.3% · 30d 90.0%
Open value$13.1kcash n/a
Positions15 / 72open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 7h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$13.8kbelow peak −$14.5kOct 10

SharpScore inputs

32/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 84.2% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable62
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d99
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 15

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?Yes3,18194.3¢94.4¢$3,001+$1.35$0
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No3,19989.1¢92.5¢$2,959+$109$0
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by October 31?No2,18191.7¢94.5¢$2,061+$61$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?No1,62571.1¢98.9¢$1,607+$452$0
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No2,05178¢77.5¢$1,590−$10$0
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?No70032.1¢96¢$672+$447$0
ChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?No93470.7¢69.5¢$649−$11$0
ChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?No90366.4¢58¢$524−$76$0
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No10.7k15.7¢0¢$0−$1,680−$57
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?No3,49793.3¢0¢$0−$3,262−$11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No3,29791¢0¢$0−$3,000$0
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?Yes2,10595¢0¢$0−$2,000−$5.00
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?No1,76168.1¢0¢$0−$1,200$0
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No1,44269.3¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?No43634.4¢0¢$0−$150$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?91¢1,099$1,00084%32
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?94.3¢3,181$3,00084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?66.3¢151$10084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by November 30?66.4¢753$50084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?73¢274$20084%32
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?92¢1,087$1,00084%32
BUY NoNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?90¢1,111$1,00084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?67.2¢1,487$1,00084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?34.4¢436$15084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?72.9¢137$10084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?72¢139$10084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?71.8¢1,394$1,00084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?74.1¢135$10084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?69¢145$10084%32
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?62.9¢795$50084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?70.3¢142$10084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?67¢149$10084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?70.6¢71$5084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?67¢15$1084%32
BUY NoChatGPT Full Outage by October 31?68.8¢145$10084%32