sharpside
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Traders/Rank #4,585

shugafa

0x50b…c879
WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+SportOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$3,113vol $2.54M
PnL 30d−$2,259gains $48 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$2,071win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 98.1% · 30d 100.0%
Open value$9,789cash n/a
Positions96 / 90,575open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 3m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$2,637below peak −$3,268Oct 10

SharpScore inputs

46/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 96

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Chicago, IL face tornado risk on October 9?No4,63999.9¢60¢$2,783−$1,851$0
Will Indianapolis, IN face tornado risk on October 9?No1,98699.9¢97.4¢$1,934−$50$0
Will Birmingham, AL face tornado risk on October 9?No1,02399.9¢97.3¢$995−$27$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Emmanuel Macron by October 31, 2026?Yes20099.9¢94.2¢$188−$12$0
Will San Antonio, TX face tornado risk on October 9?No18899.9¢99.6¢$187−$0.66$0
Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa: O/U 0.5Under17999.9¢100¢$179+$0.09$0
Exact Score: Alianza FC 3 - 2 Águilas Doradas Rionegro?No14599.9¢100¢$145+$0.07$0
Will Houston, TX face tornado risk on October 9?No13099.9¢98¢$127−$2.47$0
1H Spread: San Jose State (-3.5)Wyoming10397¢98.6¢$102+$1.60$0
Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 59.5Over10298.4¢100¢$102+$1.56$0
Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 57.5Over10199¢100¢$101+$0.96$0
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat?Yes10297.7¢98.1¢$100+$0.41$0
Exact Score: Alianza FC 2 - 2 Águilas Doradas Rionegro?Yes10099.7¢100¢$100+$0.25$0
1H Spread: San Jose State (-4.5)Wyoming10199¢99.2¢$100+$0.20$0
Counter-Strike: FarmVille vs Wanted Goons - Map 1 WinnerWanted Goons10099.9¢100¢$100+$0.05$0
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Club 333 - Map 1 WinnerDetonate10099.9¢100¢$100+$0.05$0
Will Atlanta, GA face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢100¢$100+$0.05$0
Deportivo Maldonado vs. Liverpool Montevideo: Deportivo Maldonado O/U 2.5Under10099.9¢100¢$100+$0.05$0
Wyoming vs. San Jose State: 1H O/U 30.5Under10099.9¢100¢$100+$0.05$0
Florida State vs. Louisville: O/U 53.5Over10098¢100¢$100+$1.95$0
1H Spread: Washington (-1.5)Iowa10099.8¢99.5¢$100−$0.30$0
AHL: Hartford Wolf Pack vs. Providence BruinsHartford Wolf Pack10099.9¢99.5¢$100−$0.40$0
Will Kenneth Walker III have 524.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes10099.8¢98.5¢$99−$1.30$0
Will Davante Adams have 374.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes10099.9¢98.4¢$98−$1.55$0
Will Des Moines, IA face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢98¢$98−$1.90$0
1H Spread: San Jose State (-5.5)Wyoming10199¢95.5¢$96−$3.54$0
Exact Score: Alianza FC 2 - 3 Águilas Doradas Rionegro?No9599.9¢100¢$95+$0.05$0
Will Mark Andrews have 124.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes10099.9¢94.9¢$95−$5.05$0
Will Lexington SC win on 2026-10-09?No8599.9¢100¢$84+$0.04$0
Will Dallas, TX face tornado risk on October 9?No7599.9¢100¢$75+$0.04$0
Will Columbus, OH face tornado risk on October 9?No13599.9¢52.6¢$71−$64$0
Will Oklahoma City, OK face tornado risk on October 9?No7099.9¢100¢$70+$0.04$0
Will Trump say "1776" during his Midterm Rally in New York?Yes7099.9¢100¢$70+$0.04$0
Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on October 9?No13099.9¢52.6¢$68−$62$0
Will Memphis, TN face tornado risk on October 9?No13099.9¢52.6¢$68−$62$0
Will St. Louis, MO face tornado risk on October 9?No6199.9¢100¢$61+$0.03$0
Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 10+ times during his Midterm Rally in New York?Yes6199.9¢100¢$61+$0.03$0
Will Omaha, NE face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢52.6¢$53−$47$0
Will Kansas City, MO face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢52.6¢$53−$47$0
Will Minneapolis, MN face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢52.6¢$53−$47$0
Will New Orleans, LA face tornado risk on October 9?No10099.9¢52.6¢$53−$47$0
Will "Google" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes5099.9¢99.5¢$50−$0.20$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kathy Hochul by October 31, 2026?Yes4799.7¢99.8¢$47+$0.02$0
Will no episode air?No4599.9¢100¢$45+$0.02$0
Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa: O/U 2.5Under4599.9¢100¢$45+$0.02$0
Lexington SC vs. FC Tulsa: O/U 1.5Under3299.9¢100¢$32+$0.02$0
Will Denver, CO face tornado risk on October 9?No5599.9¢52.5¢$29−$26$0
Will Little Rock, AR face tornado risk on October 9?No4599.9¢52.5¢$24−$21$0
Dota 2: Team Kinetix vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group StageTeam Kinetix21546.6¢9¢$19−$81$0
Will FC Tulsa win on 2026-10-09?No1999.9¢100¢$19+$0.01$0
Will Wichita, KS face tornado risk on October 9?No2599.9¢52.5¢$13−$12$0
Will "Company" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?Yes1399.7¢97.2¢$13−$0.33$0
Will Liverpool Montevideo win on 2026-10-09?No1099.9¢100¢$9.88$0$0
Will Tampa, FL face tornado risk on October 9?No1099¢95.6¢$9.55−$0.34$0
Exact Score: Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Liverpool Montevideo?Yes999.9¢100¢$8.87$0$0
Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on September 23?No1099¢77.5¢$7.83−$2.17$0
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Karoline Leavitt by October 31, 2026?Yes899.7¢97.6¢$7.54−$0.16$0
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta?Yes1099.8¢63.5¢$6.36−$3.64$0
Will Rajah Caruth win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Ecosave 200?No799.7¢90.5¢$6.02−$0.62$0
Will Chandler Smith win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Ecosave 200?No799.7¢90.4¢$6.02−$0.62$0
Will Gio Ruggiero win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Ecosave 200?No799.7¢90.4¢$6.02−$0.62$0
Will Layne Riggs win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series Ecosave 200?Yes799.7¢90.4¢$6.02−$0.62$0
Will Aaron Jones have 224.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes599¢99.4¢$4.97+$0.02$0
Will Kyle Monangai have 249.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes599¢97¢$4.85−$0.10$0
Will Denzel Boston have 274.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes599.9¢96¢$4.80−$0.20$0
Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs METANOIA WOLVES (+1.5)METANOIA WOLVES3548¢0.8¢$0.26−$17$0
GamerLegion to win 2-0?No1,60093.8¢0¢$0−$1,500−$2.81
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?Down1,00199.9¢0¢$0−$1,000−$0.07
BNB Up or Down on October 5?Down40799.9¢0¢$0−$407$0
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5Over11488¢0¢$0−$100−$0.60
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5Over11289¢0¢$0−$100−$0.55
Timberwolves vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5Over11189.7¢0¢$0−$100−$0.51
T20 Series Japan vs Malaysia, Women: Japan vs MalaysiaJapan10595¢0¢$0−$100−$0.25
1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros10198.9¢0¢$0−$100−$0.06
Flau'jae Johnson: Rebounds O/U 5.5No10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Tabata vs. Andreev: Match O/U 22.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Anthony Kay: Strikeouts O/U 4.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Hipfl vs. Salazar: Match O/U 22.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Natasha Cloud: Assists O/U 5.5No10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Tabata vs. Andreev: Match O/U 23.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Hipfl vs. Salazar: Match O/U 21.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Tabata vs. Andreev: Match O/U 21.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
Hipfl vs. Salazar: Match O/U 23.5Over10199¢0¢$0−$100−$0.05
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Samsung LionsDoosan Bears10199.2¢0¢$0−$100−$0.04
Will Anna Wintour attend Proenza Schouler?No10099.9¢0¢$0−$100−$0.01
Nsairi vs. Larue: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Under10040¢0¢$0−$40−$1.20
Indiana vs. Rutgers: 1Q O/U 10.5Over10099¢0¢$0−$99$0
Luca Zidane: 4+ savesYes5699¢0¢$0−$55−$0.03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5Over5099.9¢0¢$0−$50$0
Will the announcers say "What a Catch" during the Chiefs vs Raiders game?No1099¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Kokot vs. Chlodnicki: Match O/U 21.5Over1099¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.01
Will Oliver Nielsen be in Denmark's Starting 11?No1099.9¢0¢$0−$9.99$0
Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Joao Fonseca vs Christopher O'ConnellYes599¢0¢$0−$4.95$0
Andres Santamarta vs. Gilles Arnaud Bailly: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5599¢0¢$0−$4.95$0
Santamarta vs. Bailly: Match O/U 22.5Under599¢0¢$0−$4.95$0
Santamarta vs. Bailly: Match O/U 23.5Under599¢0¢$0−$4.95$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Austin be between 62-63°F on October 9?99.9¢103$103100%46
BUY SOLYX ESPORTSHonor of Kings: SOLYX ESPORTS vs Hydra Esports - Game 4 Winner98.1¢102$100100%46
BUY YesExact Score: Cerezo Ōsaka 0 - 0 Yokohama F·Marinos?99.7¢100$100100%46
BUY UnderCerezo Ōsaka vs. Yokohama F·Marinos: O/U 0.599.9¢100$100100%46
BUY NoBitcoin above 83,000 on October 10, 3AM ET?99.9¢15$15100%46
BUY YesExact Score: RB Ōmiya Ardija 3 - 1 Vanraure Hachinohe FC?99.8¢100$100100%46
BUY NoWuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Camila Osorio vs Lin Zhu99.9¢95$95100%46
BUY NoWill Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in New York?99.9¢100$100100%46
BUY NoWill Paju Frontier be runner-up in the 2026 K League 2?99.9¢100$100100%46
BUY NoWill Yongin FC be runner-up in the 2026 K League 2?99.9¢100$100100%46
BUY NoWill Seongnam FC be runner-up in the 2026 K League 2?99.9¢5$5.00100%46
BUY NoWill Pohang Steelers win K-League?99.9¢5$5.00100%46
BUY NoWuhan Tennis Open, Qualification: Completed Match: Magdalena Frech vs Moyuka Uchijima99.9¢40$40100%46
BUY ElusiveCounter-Strike: Elusive vs Without a Roof (BO1) - FRAG University Group C99.8¢100$100100%46
BUY NoA'ja Wilson: Rebounds O/U 10.599¢4$3.94100%46
BUY YesWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on October 9?99.8¢48$48100%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 8°C or below on October 9?99.9¢10$9.99100%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 11°C on October 9?99.9¢10$9.99100%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on October 9?99.9¢10$9.99100%46
BUY NoWill the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 9°C on October 9?99.9¢10$9.99100%46