sharpside
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arablounge

0x50e…ac57
PoliticsOtherSportCultureWeather
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$395vol $301k
PnL 30d−$158gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$44win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate57.3%adj 56.7% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$3,299cash n/a
Positions31 / 286open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 5mo ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$96below peak −$2,164Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

36/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale37
Adjusted win rateraw 57.3% · shrunk toward 50%42
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable82
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?No1,38399.9¢100¢$1,383+$1.38$0
Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina CatamountsWestern Carolina Catamounts2,02548¢50¢$1,013+$41$0
Will the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?No38299.9¢100¢$382+$0.38$0
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar CardinalsLamar Cardinals33887.9¢100¢$338+$41$0
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?Yes7869¢100¢$78+$24+$72
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes75374.2¢9¢$67−$491$0
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No2875¢100¢$28+$7.00−$75
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No873¢100¢$8.00+$2.16−$8.51
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?No197.3¢99.9¢$1.00+$0.03+$0.06
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?No196.8¢96.7¢$0.97$0$0
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes122¢4.5¢$0.04−$0.17$0
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs (W)South Carolina State Bulldogs66479¢0¢$0−$525$0
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?OpenAI56414¢0¢$0−$79$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 4 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?No5629¢0¢$0−$51$0
Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois PanthersBlackburn Beavers52620.2¢0¢$0−$106$0
Will Efecto be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?Yes47037¢0¢$0−$174$0
Bitcoin ETF Flows on February 13?Negative39917¢0¢$0−$68$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 6 be greater than 2,300,000?No39153¢0¢$0−$207$0
Will Lesli Linka Glatter - Zero Day win Best Director for a Limited or Anthology Series at the 78th DGA Awards?Yes38712.6¢0¢$0−$49$0
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Over35924¢0¢$0−$86$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 26 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?No27259¢0¢$0−$160$0
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETDown26551¢0¢$0−$135$0
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETUp21356¢0¢$0−$119$0
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5Over18380¢0¢$0−$146$0
Will the US next strike Iran on March 25, 2026 (ET)?Yes1430.8¢0¢$0−$1.14$0
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?Yes6811¢0¢$0−$7.48$0
Will Atalanta advance to the round of 16?No4682¢0¢$0−$38$0
Will Ubisoft announce bankruptcy by June 30?Yes195.5¢0¢$0−$1.04$0
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes957¢0¢$0−$5.31−$240
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?No173¢0¢$0−$0.73+$5.87
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?No112¢0¢$0−$0.12$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL NoWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?85¢783$66657%36
SELL NoWill 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?97.7¢16$1657%36
SELL NoWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?40¢273$10957%36
SELL NoWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?40¢1,246$49857%36
SELL NoWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?40¢348$13957%36
BUY NoWill James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?40¢1,867$74757%36
BUY Western Carolina CatamountsClemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts48¢2,025$97257%36
BUY NoWill Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?85¢783$66657%36
SELL NoWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?81¢425$34457%36
SELL NoWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?76¢78$5957%36
SELL NoWill Iran strike Ruwais Refinery by April 30?76¢48$3657%36
SELL NoUS bank failure by June 30?72¢623$44957%36
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢467$28557%36
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢66$4057%36
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢624$38157%36
SELL NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?61¢659$40257%36
BUY NoWill Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?81¢425$34457%36
BUY NoWill CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?86¢1,816$1,56257%36
SELL NoWill Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30?84¢633$53257%36
SELL YesWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?12¢22$2.6457%36