sharpside
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Traders/Rank #576

Logan.

0x510…5e9c
PnL 100k+PnL 50k+PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$354kvol $25.3M
PnL 30d+$7,693gains $5,947 · losses $62
PnL 7d−$108win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate52.6%adj 52.5% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$30.2kcash n/a
Positions154 / 2,236open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.3%of equity peak
Account age1.9ylast trade 7d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$347kbelow peak −$31.0kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

67/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale79
Adjusted win rateraw 52.6% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d75
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No6,19845.7¢84.5¢$5,237+$2,406$0
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No3,73535.9¢98.9¢$3,692+$2,349$0
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No4,64357.7¢70.5¢$3,274+$592$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes2,43246.7¢87.3¢$2,123+$986+$510
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No3,00052¢62.5¢$1,875+$315$0
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No2,09170.9¢89.5¢$1,872+$389−$81
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,84723.4¢95.6¢$1,764+$1,333+$1,150
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes9,2360¢15.5¢$1,432+$1,432$0
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Yes7,34633.7¢15.5¢$1,139−$1,335$0
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No1,01131.5¢96.1¢$971+$653$0
Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes7,09622.7¢11.5¢$816−$795+$286
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No2,89417.6¢23.5¢$680+$170$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes3,3098.4¢15.1¢$498+$221+$1,008
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes18.1k2.6¢2.7¢$480+$7.19$0
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,9454.8¢15.1¢$443+$302+$1.83
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes2,65226.3¢16.5¢$438−$260+$4,654
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Yes4,45821¢9.5¢$424−$515$0
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢17.8¢$357+$357$0
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢2.4¢$254+$174$0
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,9943.5¢5.1¢$252+$77$0
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No56074.6¢42.2¢$236−$182−$71
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes4,0004¢5.9¢$234+$74$0
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,0490.8¢2.8¢$166+$121+$20
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No14897.1¢99.9¢$148+$4.09$0
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes15.6k1.6¢0.8¢$117−$129$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No9059.3¢94.5¢$85+$32−$1,201
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes46.7k1¢0.2¢$70−$394$0
Will Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes30013¢20.5¢$62+$23$0
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3,0001.5¢2.1¢$61+$16$0
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢2.6¢$51+$51$0
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Yes66018.3¢7.5¢$50−$71$0
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.5¢$48−$32$0
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.4¢$42−$38$0
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.4¢$37−$43$0
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.4¢$37−$43$0
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢1.8¢$35+$35$0
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9,8350.8¢0.4¢$34−$40+$6.34
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0000¢3¢$30+$30$0
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes1,5820¢1.8¢$28+$28$0
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢1.4¢$27+$27$0
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.3¢$26−$53$0
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.3¢$26−$53$0
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.3¢$26−$53$0
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.3¢$26−$53$0
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5,6100.2¢0.5¢$25+$12$0
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢1.3¢$25+$25$0
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢1.3¢$25+$25$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes2333.3¢85.8¢$20+$12+$18
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes5,5850.8¢0.4¢$20−$23$0
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No1874¢99.3¢$18+$4.51$0
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes6,8360.8¢0.3¢$17−$35+$3.33
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.2¢$16−$64$0
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?No8068¢19.5¢$16−$39$0
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes9,8350.8¢0.2¢$15−$60+$1.09
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.7¢$14+$14$0
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1844.3¢7.4¢$14+$5.63+$287
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.7¢$13+$13$0
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes8,5850.8¢0.2¢$13−$52+$369
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0000¢1.1¢$10+$10$0
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No992.3¢96.5¢$8.57+$0.37−$46
Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes5717.6¢12.7¢$7.16−$2.82$0
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.4¢$7.00+$7.00$0
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.4¢$7.00+$7.00$0
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes1,0000¢0.7¢$6.50+$6.50$0
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.6k0.8¢0.1¢$5.29−$75$0
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes10.5k0.8¢0.1¢$5.25−$74−$0.12
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.3¢$5.00+$5.00$0
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.2¢$3.00+$3.00$0
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes1667.2¢1.8¢$2.99−$8.99+$8,889
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes1,7910.8¢0.2¢$2.69−$11+$4.09
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes2,0000¢0.1¢$1.00+$1.00$0
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes3870¢0.3¢$0.97+$0.97$0
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,5820¢0.1¢$0.79+$0.79$0
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,5820¢0.1¢$0.79+$0.79$0
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes1,5820¢0.1¢$0.79+$0.79$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?18¢2,521$45453%67
BUY YesIsrael accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?25¢1,937$48453%67
BUY YesWill Lindsay Clancy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?13¢300$3953%67
BUY YesWill Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary?17.6¢57$9.9853%67
SELL YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?63.8¢1,300$82953%67
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?49.5¢1,357$67153%67
BUY YesSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?47.6¢3,000$1,42753%67
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.2¢1,035$2.0753%67
BUY YesWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?0.2¢3,642$7.2853%67
BUY NoSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?56¢1,000$56053%67
BUY NoWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?46¢2,198$1,01153%67
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?37¢2,000$74053%67
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?37¢2,000$74053%67
BUY YesUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?36¢113$4153%67
BUY NoWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?37¢2,248$83253%67
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?0.1¢19.3k$1953%67
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?0.3¢12.2k$3753%67
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?5¢6,304$31553%67
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?5¢5,378$26953%67
BUY NoWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?5¢3,891$19553%67