sharpside
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Traders/Rank #5,984

Vikiva150188

0x510…3163
SharpWR 80+WR 70+WR 60+OtherCryptoPolitics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$1,087vol $12.7k
PnL 30d+$65gains $349 · losses $82
PnL 7d+$16win rate 7d 100.0%
Win rate91.4%adj 84.8% · 30d 86.2%
Open value$1,011cash n/a
Positions29 / 134open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.2%of equity peak
Account age3molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$1,100below peak −$49Oct 13

SharpScore inputs

76/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale43
Adjusted win rateraw 91.4% · shrunk toward 50%100
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable71
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d92
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity88

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31? · Yesclosed+$678Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $120B by August 31? · Yesclosed+$66Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by August 31? · Yesclosed+$65Will Russia target Kyiv by August 10, 2026? · Noclosed+$50Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $92.5B by September 30? · Noclosed+$46

Worst markets

Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by September 30? · Yesopen−$57Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27? · Yesopen−$51Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30? · Yesopen−$39Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? · Yesclosed−$36Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30? · Yesclosed−$31

Open positions · 29

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes23776.6¢77.7¢$184+$2.50$0
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?No17881.4¢82¢$146+$1.10$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?Yes14875¢76.5¢$113+$2.28$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by October 31?No10065¢94¢$94+$29$0
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $875B by October 31?No7090.7¢99.5¢$70+$6.12$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?Yes10282.4¢68¢$69−$15$0
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes8069¢72.5¢$58+$2.80$0
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?Yes12583¢42.5¢$53−$51$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31?No4577¢83.5¢$38+$2.92+$5.97
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?No6128.7¢55¢$33+$16$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?Yes4565¢67¢$30+$0.90$0
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes5549.9¢52.4¢$29+$1.33$0
Will Discord IPO by October 31, 2026?No2580¢97.9¢$24+$4.47$0
Will Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by October 31?No5035¢48.5¢$24+$6.75$0
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31?Yes5874.9¢33.5¢$20−$24$0
Will DeepSeek IPO by March 31, 2027?No1168¢86.5¢$9.12+$1.95$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by December 31?Yes1479¢51.5¢$7.20−$3.84$0
Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes2650.9¢18.5¢$4.72−$8.28$0
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $82.5B by October 31?No580¢82¢$4.10+$0.10$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETUp1,0001¢0¢$0−$10−$0.69
LAPTOP listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Yes19111.9¢0¢$0−$23−$6.22
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes1242.4¢0¢$0−$3.00−$0.15
Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $97.5B by September 30?Yes10828.2¢0¢$0−$30−$0.87
Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $600B by September 30?Yes9341¢0¢$0−$38−$0.47
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $195B by September 30?Yes8671.6¢0¢$0−$62+$4.20
Will Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by September 30?Yes405¢0¢$0−$2.00$0
LAPTOP listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE?Yes3010¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $23B by September 30?Yes255¢0¢$0−$1.25$0
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.3T by August 31?Yes534¢0¢$0−$1.70+$1.50

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?69.7¢1$1.0091%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Lambda's valuation hit (LOW) $12.5B by October 31?35¢50$1891%76Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?81¢20$1791%76Sharp
SELL YesWill ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $650B by December 31?46¢75$3591%76Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?79¢30$2491%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?99.9¢160$16091%76Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?82¢5$4.1091%76Sharp
BUY NoWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?82¢123$10191%76Sharp
BUY YesWill Neuralink's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31?83¢60$5091%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $185B by October 31?63¢50$3291%76Sharp
BUY NoWill Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $95B by October 31?23¢18$4.0691%76Sharp
SELL YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?4.9¢105$5.1691%76Sharp
SELL YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?81¢40$3291%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?5¢100$5.0091%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?9¢11$1.0091%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 18?5¢11$0.5591%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?85¢20$1791%76Sharp
SELL YesWill Anthropic list on the NASDAQ?93.4¢19$1891%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?85¢6$5.1091%76Sharp
BUY YesSaudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?84¢20$1791%76Sharp