PnL all-time−$101vol $21.3k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate48.7%adj 49.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$200cash n/a
Positions5 / 48open / all-time
Max drawdown−20.7%of equity peak
Account age1.8ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$101below peak −$199Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
23/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 48.7% · shrunk toward 50%23
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable56
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity79
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Real Madrid win La Liga? · Yesclosed+$48Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? · Yesclosed+$24Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Yesclosed+$22Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI? · Yesclosed+$22Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? · Yesclosed+$19
Worst markets
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador? · Yesopen−$198Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season? · Yesclosed−$33Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? · Yesopen−$22Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? · Noclosed−$18Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? · Yesopen−$13
Open positions · 5
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | Yes | 200 | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $200 | +$5.41 | $0 | |
| Will Julian Alvarez be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Yes | 280 | 0.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1.40 | $0 | |
| Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador? | Yes | 200 | 99¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$198 | $0 | |
| Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League? | Yes | 102 | 15.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16 | −$5.80 | |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Yes | 100 | 13¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$13 | $0 |
Recent trades
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