PnL all-time−$2,198vol $85.3k
PnL 30d+$5,341gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$4,920win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate37.5%adj 46.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$36.7kcash n/a
Positions3 / 11open / all-time
Max drawdown−82.2%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 2mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$862below peak $0Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
10/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 37.5% · shrunk toward 50%16
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable35
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity18
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yesclosed+$2,424Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$1,692Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yesopen+$1,125Squid FDV above $100M one day after launch · Yesclosed+$825Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch · Yesclosed+$286
Worst markets
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$4,741Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch · Yesclosed−$376Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yesclosed−$313Squid FDV above $150M one day after launch · Yesclosed−$283Squid FDV above $300M one day after launch · Yesclosed−$18
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 27.9k | 88.4¢ | 94.5¢ | $26.4k | +$1,692 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 7,260 | 75¢ | 90.5¢ | $6,570 | +$1,125 | $0 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 3,915 | 93¢ | 96.2¢ | $3,764 | +$123 | $0 |
Recent trades
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