PnL all-time−$37vol $2,877
PnL 30d−$24gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$6.62win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate33.3%adj 47.8% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$151cash n/a
Positions4 / 7open / all-time
Max drawdown−12.6%of equity peak
Account age6molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$44below peak −$118Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
13/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 33.3% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable28
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity87
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? · Yesopen−$80Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? · Yesopen−$51Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026? · Yesclosed−$47Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? · Yesopen−$12Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Upclosed−$5.32
Open positions · 4
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | No | 138 | 38.8¢ | 100¢ | $138 | +$84 | −$57 | |
| Will Elon Musk get full custody of the St. Clair child? | Yes | 265 | 9.4¢ | 4.9¢ | $13 | −$12 | $0 | |
| Will Elon Musk and Sam Altman settle? | Yes | 243 | 30.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$75 | −$4.92 | |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | Yes | 143 | 34.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$50 | −$1.30 |
Recent trades
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