PnL all-time−$2,577vol $75.9k
PnL 30d+$5,430gains $2,794 · losses $1,600
PnL 7d+$5,194win rate 7d 63.0%
Win rate56.1%adj 55.7% · 30d 63.0%
Open value$564cash n/a
Positions10 / 272open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age7molast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,698below peak −$2,698Oct 9
SharpScore inputs
24/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 56.1% · shrunk toward 50%39
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 10
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,908 | 26.2¢ | 14.2¢ | $270 | −$230 | $0 | |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | No | 139 | 72¢ | 99.2¢ | $138 | +$38 | $0 | |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 110 | 62¢ | 70.5¢ | $77 | +$9.33 | $0 | |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 129 | 77.3¢ | 35.3¢ | $46 | −$54 | $0 | |
| Will Jay Z perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | Yes | 21 | 71¢ | 64.5¢ | $14 | −$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | No | 21 | 42¢ | 31.5¢ | $6.62 | −$2.21 | $0 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | Yes | 21 | 50.1¢ | 28.8¢ | $6.05 | −$4.47 | $0 | |
| Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show? | Yes | 21 | 48.1¢ | 18.8¢ | $3.95 | −$6.15 | $0 | |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 5 | 49¢ | 37.5¢ | $1.88 | −$0.57 | $0 | |
| Databricks IPO before 2027? | Yes | 63 | 28¢ | 1.8¢ | $1.14 | −$17 | +$12 |
Recent trades
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