sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #3,930

bullishkirby

0x515…8309@Quantumari
WhaleWR 70+WR 60+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$105kvol $7.34M
PnL 30d+$27.7kgains $32.7k · losses $1,266
PnL 7d+$10.0kwin rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate80.0%adj 77.2% · 30d 75.0%
Open value$90.5kcash n/a
Positions32 / 233open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age5molast trade 38m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$104kbelow peak −$141kOct 8

SharpScore inputs

42/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 80.0% · shrunk toward 50%93
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable79
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No125k35.6¢37.5¢$46.8k+$2,389$0
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No376k10.2¢9.5¢$35.7k−$2,567$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo40.0k37¢36.5¢$14.6k−$200$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes171k8.6¢8.5¢$14.5k−$192$0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes4,35629¢42.5¢$1,851+$588$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes2,42713¢9.5¢$231−$85$0
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes402k11.8¢0¢$0−$47.4k−$1,036
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No221k48.9¢0¢$0−$108k−$5,002
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes160k46.8¢0¢$0−$74.9k−$7,339
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Liquid100k37.5¢0¢$0−$37.5k$0
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes86.4k1.4¢0¢$0−$1,194−$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION57.2k50¢0¢$0−$28.6k$0
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-InTeam Liquid40.6k50¢0¢$0−$20.3k$0
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT130.0k44.9¢0¢$0−$13.5k−$811
Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?Yes15.7k2.5¢0¢$0−$393−$19
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes15.0k66¢0¢$0−$9,900$0
Will T1 win MSI 2026?Yes12.1k21.9¢0¢$0−$2,647−$19
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT110.0k67¢0¢$0−$6,700$0
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerT18,00060.5¢0¢$0−$4,840−$7.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 2 WinnerT15,55964.5¢0¢$0−$3,585$0
Will a LEC Team Beat An Eastern Team in a Bo5 at MSI 2026?No4,99553¢0¢$0−$2,647−$37
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?No4,56838.4¢0¢$0−$1,754$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No3,14053.8¢0¢$0−$1,688$0
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?No2,25088¢0¢$0−$1,979−$8.37
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?Yes1,73833.8¢0¢$0−$588+$4,589
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsT11,00083¢0¢$0−$830$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes5003.7¢0¢$0−$19$0
Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes50024¢0¢$0−$120−$2.49
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes50024¢0¢$0−$120$0
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?No33158¢0¢$0−$192−$16
Will T1 win the EWC League of Legends TournamentYes1429¢0¢$0−$13$0
Will a Team win MSI Without Dropping a Series?Yes6549.8¢0¢$0−$32−$0.49

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?37¢60.3k$22.3k80%42Whale
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9¢14.6k$1,31080%42
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?35¢8,061$2,82180%42
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?34¢4,623$1,57280%42
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?33¢16.7k$5,49580%42
BUY No2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House37¢40.0k$14.8k80%42Whale
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?86¢16$1480%42
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7¢1,736$12280%42
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7¢2,624$18480%42
BUY Yes2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House7¢11.8k$82480%42
BUY NoWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?7¢5,021$35180%42
SELL NoWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?83¢4,809$3,99180%42
BUY YesWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?54¢12.8k$6,92280%42
BUY YesWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?29¢4,356$1,26380%42
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by September 30?89¢232$20780%42
BUY NoIran full airspace closure by September 30?89¢591$52680%42
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?98.4¢33$3280%42
SELL NoWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?99.8¢38$3880%42
BUY YesWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1.2¢938$1180%42
BUY YesWill James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?1.2¢7,019$8480%42