| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 100k | 85.3¢ | 84.5¢ | $84.5k | −$848 | +$2,904 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 80.0k | 35¢ | 40.5¢ | $32.4k | +$4,400 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 22.9k | 66.2¢ | 70.9¢ | $16.2k | +$1,066 | $0 | |
| Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 14.1k | 82.4¢ | 93.3¢ | $13.1k | +$1,527 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 30.0k | 28.3¢ | 41¢ | $12.3k | +$3,800 | $0 | |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | No | 12.0k | 84.9¢ | 88¢ | $10.5k | +$367 | +$22 | |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | No | 12.0k | 78¢ | 73.5¢ | $8,820 | −$540 | $0 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | 38.9k | 39.6¢ | 21¢ | $8,173 | −$7,254 | −$202 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October? | Yes | 20.0k | 26¢ | 33.5¢ | $6,700 | +$1,500 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 17.0k | 36¢ | 37.5¢ | $6,365 | +$255 | +$10 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 10.1k | 51¢ | 60.5¢ | $6,139 | +$964 | +$17 | |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 25.4k | 26.3¢ | 24¢ | $6,105 | −$575 | +$6.71 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 31.3k | 15¢ | 15.5¢ | $4,858 | +$157 | $0 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 5,300 | 87¢ | 87.6¢ | $4,643 | +$34 | +$80 | |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 31.0k | 15.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $3,872 | −$1,004 | $0 | |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 5,000 | 78¢ | 73.5¢ | $3,675 | −$225 | $0 | |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | No | 13.5k | 17.2¢ | 18.5¢ | $2,503 | +$177 | +$143 | |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 3,099 | 60¢ | 64.5¢ | $1,999 | +$139 | $0 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 5,243 | 33.8¢ | 33.5¢ | $1,756 | −$16 | +$757 | |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5,479 | 19¢ | 23.5¢ | $1,288 | +$247 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31? | Yes | 1,518 | 58.1¢ | 78.5¢ | $1,192 | +$310 | +$141 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 3,057 | 17.4¢ | 28.5¢ | $871 | +$339 | +$320 | |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 10.0k | 12.2¢ | 4.9¢ | $490 | −$733 | +$94 | |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31? | No | 456 | 88.3¢ | 92.5¢ | $422 | +$19 | +$20 | |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027? | Yes | 983 | 33.5¢ | 41.5¢ | $408 | +$79 | +$178 | |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 297 | 93.8¢ | 97.5¢ | $289 | +$11 | $0 | |
| Will Alina Habba be the next White House Press Secretary? | No | 158 | 71.1¢ | 96.9¢ | $153 | +$41 | $0 | |
| Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 2,772 | 2.3¢ | 2.3¢ | $62 | −$1.64 | $0 | |
| Trump renames New Mexico to New America by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2,071 | 5.8¢ | 1.9¢ | $38 | −$82 | +$1,735 | |
| Will Scott Jennings be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 100 | 7¢ | 12.4¢ | $12 | +$5.40 | $0 | |
| Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 301 | 8¢ | 2.3¢ | $6.77 | −$17 | +$0.72 | |
| Will Obsession be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | Yes | 17 | 13¢ | 39¢ | $6.63 | +$4.42 | $0 | |
| Will Lauren Bis be the next White House Press Secretary? | Yes | 100 | 7.4¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.60 | −$6.80 | $0 | |
| US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | No | 637k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,274 | $0 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | Yes | 297k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$15.0k | +$17.0k | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | Yes | 217k | 10¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$21.7k | +$6,081 | |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview? | Yes | 172k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$359 | −$573 | |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | Yes | 109k | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,332 | +$395 | |
| Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | No | 100.0k | 14.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.4k | −$1,458 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | Yes | 97.3k | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,360 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 95.2k | 11.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$10.9k | −$20.7k | |
| Will Kanye West / Ye be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 94.2k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$582 | $0 | |
| Will Xi Jinping be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 90.2k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,590 | $0 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 80.7k | 1.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,458 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Yes | 67.0k | 12.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,123 | $0 | |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 60.8k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$120 | −$134 | |
| Will Elon Musk be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | Yes | 54.5k | 1.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,039 | +$503 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026? | No | 52.7k | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$510 | −$9.99 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | Yes | 47.7k | 5.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,527 | −$95 | |
| Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 47.2k | 0.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$59 | +$75 | |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 46.8k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$269 | $0 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | No | 43.7k | 6.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,963 | −$30 | |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 42.0k | 1.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$634 | $0 | |
| Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? | No | 38.9k | 0.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$221 | −$798 | |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | No | 37.4k | 38.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$14.3k | +$614 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | No | 37.3k | 44.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$16.5k | −$470 | |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 18? | Yes | 35.3k | 1.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$589 | $0 | |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 34.9k | 0.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$84 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026? | No | 33.3k | 61.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$20.5k | +$209 | |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 30.7k | 10.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,317 | +$530 | |
| Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 19? | No | 28.9k | 5.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,646 | +$145 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? | Yes | 28.3k | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$594 | +$879 | |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 27.4k | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,388 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? | Yes | 27.1k | 8.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,238 | −$6.66 | |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 15? | No | 26.8k | 1.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$298 | +$651 | |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Yes | 25.8k | 35.2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$9,090 | +$441 | |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 15? | Yes | 25.0k | 4.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,082 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025? | Yes | 23.9k | 1.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$309 | +$795 | |
| ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31? | Yes | 23.9k | 15.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,734 | $0 | |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | No | 23.8k | 25.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,157 | +$2,217 | |
| Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31? | No | 23.0k | 54.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$12.5k | −$166 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 17.9k | 11.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,017 | +$590 | |
| Will Luigi Mangione rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 17.1k | 19.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$3,338 | $0 | |
| Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2? | No | 16.1k | 29.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,671 | +$57 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 4? | No | 16.0k | 2.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$458 | −$28 | |
| Will Jerome Powell be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 15.2k | 0.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$135 | $0 | |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 14.6k | 32.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,759 | $0 | |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026? | Yes | 14.5k | 7.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,066 | −$937 | |
| Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 14.0k | 6.4¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$899 | $0 | |
| LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 13.5k | 5.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$742 | +$65 | |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 4? | No | 13.0k | 31.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,111 | −$183 | |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | No | 12.7k | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,802 | +$866 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | No | 12.6k | 16.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,124 | −$124 | |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026? | No | 12.6k | 36¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,529 | −$75 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | No | 12.2k | 55.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,812 | −$210 | |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | No | 11.3k | 17.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,027 | $0 | |
| ICE shooter charged by March 31? | Yes | 11.3k | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,351 | +$499 | |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October? | No | 10.6k | 18.7¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,979 | +$2,135 | |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 10.5k | 7.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$792 | +$157 | |
| Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County? | Yes | 10.3k | 22.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$2,338 | −$27 | |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 10.1k | 82.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$8,338 | +$19.7k | |
| Will d4vd rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 9,964 | 74¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,373 | $0 | |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31? | No | 9,727 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$541 | −$0.10 | |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12? | No | 9,423 | 73.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$6,934 | −$4,780 | |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026? | Yes | 9,336 | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026? | Yes | 9,309 | 78¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$7,257 | $0 | |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | Yes | 8,616 | 11¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$948 | −$19 | |
| Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31? | Yes | 8,087 | 5.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$452 | $0 | |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25? | Yes | 8,086 | 2.6¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$213 | $0 | |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 5? | No | 7,809 | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$1,081 | $0 | |
