sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

PCMTest

0x51b…7865
SharpPnL 10k+WR 80+WR 70+WR 60+1y+SportPoliticsCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$12.8kvol $1.50M
PnL 30d+$1,910gains $6,764 · losses $185
PnL 7d+$420win rate 7d 81.3%
Win rate80.6%adj 78.9% · 30d 79.5%
Open value$11.6kcash n/a
Positions461 / 818open / all-time
Max drawdown−31.9%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 12m ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$12.9kbelow peak −$210Oct 12

SharpScore inputs

77/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale59
Adjusted win rateraw 80.6% · shrunk toward 50%97
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable97
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity68

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No88370.5¢96.5¢$852+$229+$161
Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No8,23422.7¢9¢$741−$1,127$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No89965.9¢66¢$593+$0.83$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Benjamin Netanyahu become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?No60072.3¢77.5¢$465+$31$0
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo1,10054.6¢38.5¢$424−$177−$7.82
Rippling IPO before 2027?No41861¢96.3¢$403+$148+$107
Databricks IPO before 2027?No39854.4¢97.9¢$389+$173+$56
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027?No40380.3¢96.4¢$388+$65$0
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?No38764.3¢89¢$344+$96+$4.33
Anduril IPO before 2027?No33765.4¢97.6¢$329+$108+$60
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No38456.9¢62.5¢$240+$22$0
Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?No36845.2¢59.5¢$219+$53−$1.66
Glean IPO before 2027?No19178¢99.1¢$189+$40$0
Discord IPO before 2027?No20310.6¢93.1¢$189+$167$0
Will Ashton Jeanty have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No30540.9¢57.5¢$175+$51$0
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes24638.3¢69.5¢$171+$77$0
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes90280.1¢17.5¢$157−$565$0
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?No38517¢40¢$154+$89$0
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?Yes1,3502.1¢10.2¢$138+$109$0
Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No15855.6¢86.5¢$137+$49$0
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?No14777.6¢89¢$131+$17$0
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes53034.3¢24.5¢$130−$52−$8.52
Celonis IPO before 2027?No11952.3¢97.2¢$116+$54+$20
Will Mississippi State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes13648.5¢78.5¢$107+$41+$6.91
Will Andy Beshear be the first listed Democrat to announce a run for President in 2028?No13467¢79.5¢$107+$17$0
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?No11857.5¢89.4¢$105+$38$0
Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?Yes14454.6¢73¢$105+$26$0
Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?Yes25843.2¢39.5¢$102−$9.62$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No40031.4¢24.5¢$98−$27$0
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?No25150¢37.5¢$94−$31$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No12480¢73.5¢$91−$8.06$0
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?Yes58.4k0.1¢0.2¢$88+$30+$0.48
Will Florida State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No10081¢87.5¢$88+$6.50$0
Will Oklahoma have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No10025.8¢86.7¢$87+$61$0
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?Yes62839.3¢13.5¢$85−$162+$11
Will Utah have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes11056.2¢76.5¢$84+$22$0
Will Drake be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No10969.8¢75.5¢$83+$6.26+$1.70
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No9482¢87.5¢$82+$5.17$0
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes54.4k0.1¢0.2¢$82+$24+$24
Vanta IPO before 2027?No8081¢99¢$79+$14$0
Will Boise State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes10053¢78¢$78+$25$0
Will Los Angeles Chargers advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No8549¢87¢$74+$32$0
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?Yes18339¢38¢$70−$1.85+$0.14
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?No14543.5¢45¢$65+$2.15$0
Will South Carolina have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No7070.1¢90.9¢$64+$15$0
Will Oklahoma State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes8744.1¢71.2¢$62+$24+$15
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes7077¢84.5¢$59+$5.25$0
Will Kansas State have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No6091¢96.5¢$58+$3.30$0
Will Oklahoma have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes9563.2¢58.5¢$56−$4.44−$3.49
Will Jaafar Jackson be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No6459.8¢86.5¢$55+$17$0
Will Republicans sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?Yes21422¢25.5¢$55+$7.48$0
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes6027.5¢87.1¢$52+$36$0
Will Alabama have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes7628¢66.5¢$51+$29+$10
Will Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?No11839.7¢41¢$48+$1.58$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes21134.3¢22.5¢$47−$25$0
Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No5087.2¢90.5¢$45+$1.65$0
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?Yes6932¢65¢$45+$23$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 WI-08 House election by 21% or more?No4681¢96.3¢$44+$7.02+$7.85
Will Iowa have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes5265.5¢83¢$43+$9.11+$1.96
Will SMU have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes6464.7¢65.5¢$42+$0.53+$0.76
Will Stanford have more than 3.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes7036.5¢55.5¢$39+$13+$2.91
Will Wake Forest have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes4555.5¢86¢$39+$14$0
Will BYU have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes8641.2¢44.5¢$38+$2.83−$0.37
Will the Miami Dolphins make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No3972.8¢98.1¢$38+$9.85$0
Will Tampa Bay Buccaneers advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?No4068.5¢93.8¢$38+$10$0
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election?Yes16216¢21.5¢$35+$8.88+$2.97
Will Auburn have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No3968.4¢86¢$34+$6.87+$1.52
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No3574.5¢95.6¢$33+$7.37+$2.45
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No6058.6¢55¢$33−$2.19$0
Will Oklahoma have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No4167.3¢76.5¢$31+$3.74$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?Yes10043¢30.5¢$31−$13$0
Will Oklahoma have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No4948.1¢61.5¢$30+$6.57+$2.95
Will Texas A&M have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No3188.1¢97.4¢$30+$2.89+$5.07
Will there be 2+ walk-offs during the 2026 MLB Postseason?No14012.6¢21.5¢$30+$13$0
Will Chase Brown have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes6445.8¢46¢$29+$0.16+$3.90
Stripe IPO before 2027?No3084¢97¢$29+$3.88$0
Will Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No4459¢66¢$29+$3.04−$5.12
Will San Francisco 49ers advance to the Divisional Round in the 2027 NFL Playoffs?Yes3528¢82¢$29+$19+$1.93
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes6722¢41.5¢$28+$13$0
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?No3378¢83.5¢$28+$1.81$0
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes12016.5¢22.5¢$27+$7.17$0
James Comey charges dropped by December 31?Yes7156.2¢35.5¢$25−$15$0
Will the US federal government take a stake in Freeport-McMoRan Inc.?No2673.2¢92¢$24+$4.90$0
Will Drake perform at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?No2557¢92.5¢$23+$8.86$0
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by November 30?No2684¢86.5¢$22+$0.64$0
Will Boise State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes2554.6¢88¢$22+$8.22$0
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?No2465.2¢87.6¢$21+$5.36$0
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No4044¢52.5¢$21+$3.40$0
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-13?No1666¢12.5¢$21+$11$0
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes21418¢9.5¢$20−$18$0
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes23816.4¢8.5¢$20−$19+$105
Will Brice Turang win a 2026 NL Gold Glove Award?Yes7118.3¢28¢$20+$6.88$0
Will Clemson have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes3359.8¢60¢$20+$0.07$0
Will Wales win on 2026-10-13?No14413.3¢13.5¢$19+$0.31$0
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Yes45528.5¢4.3¢$19−$110$0
Will Duke have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes2077¢96.4¢$19+$3.87$0
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes22518.8¢8.5¢$19−$23$0
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?No2163¢88.9¢$19+$5.45$0
Will Frank Ocean be featured on GTA VI: The Album?No2085¢91¢$18+$1.21$0
Will India have an Ebola case in 2026?No2152.4¢86.5¢$18+$7.15$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill Sexyy Red be featured on GTA VI: The Album?54¢13$7.0281%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?24¢49$1281%77Sharp
SELL YesWill USC have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?48¢11$5.2781%77Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?0.1¢33.0k$3381%77Sharp
BUY YesWill 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?0.2¢1,900$3.8081%77Sharp
SELL YesWill USC have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?47¢5$2.3881%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Democrats sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?40¢45$1881%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Florida State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?65¢38$2581%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Wales win on 2026-10-13?16¢46$7.3681%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?59¢10$5.9081%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Oklahoma have more than 9.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?82¢18$1481%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?37¢55$2081%77Sharp
SELL YesWill Oklahoma State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?80¢18$1481%77Sharp
SELL NoWill Norway win on 2026-10-13?9¢39$3.5581%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?59¢60$3581%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?59¢19$1181%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?60¢10$6.0081%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?63¢180$11381%77Sharp
BUY NoWill Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?63¢10$6.3081%77Sharp
BUY YesWill Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections?37¢20$7.4081%77Sharp