PnL all-time−$1,220vol $528k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.3%adj 57.2% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,042cash n/a
Positions3 / 148open / all-time
Max drawdown−9.3%of equity peak
Account age2.0ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$1,220below peak $0Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 58.3% · shrunk toward 50%43
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable72
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity91
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? · Noclosed+$401Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? · Yesclosed+$279Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? · Noclosed+$262Will Moldova's EU membership referendum pass? · Noclosed+$252Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Yesclosed+$189
Worst markets
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$913Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$692Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$467Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$407Will a Democrat win Nevada Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$399
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Is Earth flat? | No | 522 | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | $522 | +$11 | $0 | |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 420 | 84¢ | 100¢ | $420 | +$67 | $0 | |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 100 | 12.7¢ | 100¢ | $100 | +$87 | −$0.31 |
Recent trades
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