| Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan? | Yes | 188 | 55.6¢ | 54.5¢ | $103 | −$2.14 | −$1.78 | |
| Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? | No | 100 | 48.2¢ | 70¢ | $70 | +$22 | +$0.37 | |
| Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? | Yes | 96 | 95.2¢ | 69.1¢ | $66 | −$25 | −$74 | |
| Mark Ruffalo as Hulk? | No | 118 | 53.4¢ | 27¢ | $32 | −$31 | −$1.96 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31? | No | 40 | 81.7¢ | 66¢ | $26 | −$6.27 | −$6.33 | |
| Will Hyperbeat launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 30 | 73.3¢ | 77.5¢ | $23 | +$1.25 | $0 | |
| Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez? | Yes | 40 | 63.5¢ | 57.5¢ | $23 | −$2.40 | $0 | |
| Will Valantis launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 40 | 83¢ | 45.5¢ | $18 | −$15 | $0 | |
| Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 20 | 47¢ | 80¢ | $16 | +$6.60 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $225B by December 31? | No | 20 | 71¢ | 77.5¢ | $16 | +$1.30 | $0 | |
| Will Sean Orr win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | 15 | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $15 | +$0.47 | −$0.04 | |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? | No | 17 | 80¢ | 76¢ | $13 | −$0.68 | $0 | |
| Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 41 | 56¢ | 31¢ | $13 | −$10 | −$1.20 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (HIGH) $190B by December 31? | Yes | 20 | 83¢ | 57¢ | $11 | −$5.07 | −$3.04 | |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 15 | 81¢ | 72.3¢ | $11 | −$1.33 | −$17 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | No | 11 | 92.5¢ | 91.9¢ | $9.91 | −$0.07 | −$29 | |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 10 | 93.4¢ | 95.2¢ | $9.73 | +$0.19 | −$23 | |
| Will Hyperbeat launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 86¢ | 48¢ | $9.60 | −$7.60 | $0 | |
| Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | No | 20 | 92¢ | 46.5¢ | $9.30 | −$9.10 | $0 | |
| Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? | No | 10 | 86¢ | 92.7¢ | $9.27 | +$0.67 | $0 | |
| Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 8 | 80¢ | 98.6¢ | $7.96 | +$1.50 | −$3.58 | |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | No | 10 | 80¢ | 73.1¢ | $7.30 | −$0.69 | −$3.00 | |
| D4vd released from custody in 2026? | No | 8 | 92¢ | 91.5¢ | $7.30 | −$0.04 | −$0.32 | |
| Will RISE launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 20 | 38¢ | 36¢ | $7.20 | −$0.40 | $0 | |
| Will Craig Counsell win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | No | 7 | 90¢ | 100¢ | $7.07 | +$0.70 | −$0.66 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? | No | 8 | 42¢ | 86.5¢ | $6.80 | +$3.50 | +$12 | |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | 61.5¢ | 33.5¢ | $6.70 | −$5.60 | +$7.71 | |
| Will Valantis launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 35 | 41¢ | 18.5¢ | $6.47 | −$7.87 | +$0.25 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%? | No | 6 | 94.6¢ | 96.2¢ | $6.17 | +$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42.5B by December 31? | No | 6 | 14¢ | 96.9¢ | $5.63 | +$4.82 | $0 | |
| Will Corbin Carroll win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | No | 5 | 96¢ | 100¢ | $5.29 | +$0.21 | −$5.58 | |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | No | 5 | 90¢ | 96.1¢ | $5.27 | +$0.33 | $0 | |
| Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $50B by December 31? | No | 5 | 91¢ | 96.5¢ | $5.18 | +$0.29 | $0 | |
| Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 120 | 27.9¢ | 4.3¢ | $5.16 | −$28 | +$26 | |
| Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 100 | 41¢ | 5.1¢ | $5.05 | −$36 | $0 | |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | No | 11 | 71.5¢ | 44.5¢ | $4.92 | −$2.99 | −$109 | |
| Will RISE launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 20 | 29¢ | 24.5¢ | $4.90 | −$0.90 | $0 | |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | No | 5 | 78.7¢ | 94.9¢ | $4.75 | +$0.81 | −$24 | |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31? | No | 5 | 84¢ | 84¢ | $3.99 | $0 | $0 | |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 10 | 50¢ | 39¢ | $3.89 | −$1.10 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat? | No | 100 | 8¢ | 3.7¢ | $3.70 | −$4.30 | $0 | |
| Maduro guilty of all counts? | No | 5 | 79¢ | 74¢ | $3.63 | −$0.25 | −$28 | |
| Will Anthony Furey win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $2.99 | +$0.08 | −$8.04 | |
| Will Dylan Beavers win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | No | 3 | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $2.91 | +$0.08 | $0 | |
| Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31? | No | 3 | 70¢ | 86.5¢ | $2.79 | +$0.53 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%? | Yes | 6 | 33¢ | 48.7¢ | $2.72 | +$0.87 | $0 | |
| Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | Yes | 5 | 12¢ | 50.5¢ | $2.40 | +$1.83 | $0 | |
| Brie Larson as Captain Marvel? | Yes | 5 | 65.5¢ | 48.5¢ | $2.30 | −$0.81 | −$16 | |
| Will Clémentine Autain be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 169 | 14.2¢ | 1.2¢ | $2.03 | −$22 | +$11 | |
| New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | No | 2 | 83¢ | 87¢ | $2.03 | +$0.09 | −$63 | |
| Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2027? | No | 20 | 52¢ | 8.8¢ | $1.75 | −$8.65 | −$3.20 | |
| Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 4 | 50.7¢ | 39.5¢ | $1.71 | −$0.48 | −$0.21 | |
| Will Dillon Dingler win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 40 | 12¢ | 4¢ | $1.58 | −$3.22 | $0 | |
| Will Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 31 | 11.6¢ | 4.8¢ | $1.50 | −$2.14 | +$0.36 | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 15¢ | 6.5¢ | $1.30 | −$1.70 | $0 | |
| Will the Democratic Party win the PA-03 House seat? | No | 50 | 7¢ | 2.6¢ | $1.27 | −$2.23 | $0 | |
| Will the Republican Party win the PA-03 House seat? | Yes | 50 | 7¢ | 2.5¢ | $1.23 | −$2.27 | $0 | |
| Will Yaël Braun-Pivet be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20 | 10¢ | 5.9¢ | $1.19 | −$0.81 | $0 | |
| Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45 | 6.3¢ | 2.6¢ | $1.17 | −$1.68 | +$18 | |
| Tom Lee charged by December 31? | Yes | 54 | 8.5¢ | 2.2¢ | $1.17 | −$3.44 | +$15 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | No | 1 | 88¢ | 92.5¢ | $1.17 | +$0.06 | −$14 | |
| Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange? | Yes | 1 | 90¢ | 86¢ | $1.05 | −$0.05 | −$7.51 | |
| Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2027? | No | 3 | 16¢ | 35¢ | $1.05 | +$0.57 | $0 | |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | 3 | 32¢ | 34.5¢ | $1.03 | +$0.07 | +$39 | |
| Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 11¢ | 6.9¢ | $1.03 | −$0.62 | −$0.35 | |
| Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? | No | 1 | 91¢ | 94.4¢ | $0.99 | +$0.04 | −$35 | |
| Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? | Yes | 20 | 13¢ | 4.9¢ | $0.97 | −$1.63 | +$109 | |
| Will Wilyer Abreu win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 20 | 13¢ | 4.1¢ | $0.80 | −$1.74 | $0 | |
| Will Epic Games' valuation hit (HIGH) $25B by December 31? | Yes | 12 | 7¢ | 6.5¢ | $0.76 | −$0.06 | $0 | |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 20 | 21¢ | 3.5¢ | $0.70 | −$3.50 | $0 | |
| Will Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 20 | 26¢ | 3.4¢ | $0.67 | −$4.53 | $0 | |
| Will Alex Lawson win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | Yes | 17 | 8.7¢ | 3.7¢ | $0.63 | −$0.85 | −$0.39 | |
| Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 24 | 7.5¢ | 2.5¢ | $0.60 | −$1.21 | +$2.20 | |
| Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts? | Yes | 1 | 73¢ | 59.5¢ | $0.59 | −$0.14 | −$0.62 | |
| Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 11 | 4.8¢ | 4.2¢ | $0.47 | −$0.07 | +$17 | |
| Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2 | 37.4¢ | 29.5¢ | $0.45 | −$0.12 | +$10 | |
| Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8 | 9¢ | 5.5¢ | $0.42 | −$0.27 | $0 | |
| Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 22 | 9.2¢ | 2¢ | $0.42 | −$1.57 | $0 | |
| Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 59 | 42¢ | 0.6¢ | $0.35 | −$24 | +$1.03 | |
| Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? | Yes | 31 | 6.6¢ | 1.1¢ | $0.32 | −$1.71 | +$16 | |
| James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | Yes | 20 | 9¢ | 1.4¢ | $0.28 | −$1.52 | +$24 | |
| Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 8 | 15¢ | 3.7¢ | $0.28 | −$0.85 | +$61 | |
| Will John Kerry be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 15 | 15¢ | 1.4¢ | $0.20 | −$2.00 | −$0.32 | |
| Will UBS or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | Yes | 78 | 11¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.20 | −$8.36 | $0 | |
| Will Derek Shelton win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year? | Yes | 30 | 10¢ | 0.5¢ | $0.15 | −$2.85 | $0 | |
| Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 16¢ | 10¢ | $0.12 | −$0.07 | $0 | |
| Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 1 | 40¢ | 10.5¢ | $0.11 | −$0.31 | +$5.29 | |
| Ripple Labs IPO before 2027? | Yes | 4 | 23¢ | 2.7¢ | $0.11 | −$0.85 | +$6.27 | |
| Will Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 1 | 15¢ | 6¢ | $0.07 | −$0.11 | +$6.99 | |
| Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 68 | 0.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.07 | −$0.20 | $0 | |
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering? | Yes | 20 | 2¢ | 0.3¢ | $0.05 | −$0.35 | $0 | |
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | Yes | 19 | 19¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.04 | −$3.63 | $0 | |
| Will Jonah Heim win the 2026 AL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 15 | 1.3¢ | 0.2¢ | $0.02 | −$0.17 | $0 | |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 20 | 0.8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.02 | −$0.14 | $0 | |
| Will Jonah Tong win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 28 | 1¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.01 | −$0.26 | $0 | |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 28 | 4.5¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.01 | −$1.24 | +$5.50 | |
| Will Chase DeLauter win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 22 | 9.4¢ | 0.1¢ | $0.01 | −$2.02 | +$8.11 | |
| Will Kyle Schwarber win the 2026 Edgar Martinez Outstanding Designated Hitter Award? | Yes | 6 | 22¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | −$1.36 | $0 | |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | Yes | 5 | 2¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | −$0.10 | $0 | |
| Will Nico Hoerner win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | Yes | 2 | 8¢ | 0.1¢ | $0 | −$0.18 | $0 | |