sharpside
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Traders/Rank #1,840

StraddleSeller

0x520…686b
SharpPnL 50k+PnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsWeatherSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$57.3kvol $1.30M
PnL 30d+$9,663gains $4,856 · losses $1,737
PnL 7d+$3,360win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate68.2%adj 67.5% · 30d 71.1%
Open value$45.5kcash n/a
Positions72 / 568open / all-time
Max drawdown−8.4%of equity peak
Account age1.2ylast trade 3h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$65.7kbelow peak −$1,313Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

79/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 68.2% · shrunk toward 50%69
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable92
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d100
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity92

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 72

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?No5,50880.9¢97.6¢$5,373+$920+$158
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes6,97251.4¢62.5¢$4,358+$772+$2.92
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-11 House seat?Yes3,95295¢99¢$3,913+$156$0
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No3,79358.7¢95.3¢$3,614+$1,386+$1,738
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No3,50061.4¢93.7¢$3,280+$1,130+$1,358
US military draft authorized in 2026?No3,36486.2¢96.1¢$3,232+$333+$1,227
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?Yes14.4k13.3¢17.5¢$2,517+$598+$10
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No2,18075¢96.6¢$2,105+$471+$2,400
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?No2,94749¢62.7¢$1,849+$406$0
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes1,62889.6¢94.1¢$1,531+$73+$1.60
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?Yes3,50054¢42.5¢$1,487−$402+$140
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes3,76636.2¢32.5¢$1,224−$140+$44
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Yes1,35240.4¢75¢$1,014+$468+$1,202
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes1,14481¢81.5¢$933+$5.72−$271
No one announced as next James Bond?Yes4,72820.4¢19.4¢$915−$48$0
Will Linke be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No80084¢94.4¢$755+$83+$101
Another Canada election called by December 31, 2026?No65880.8¢95.7¢$630+$98$0
Will John Coupar win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No60194.4¢99.9¢$600+$32$0
Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?No57589.8¢98¢$563+$47+$31
Will the Republican Party win the CA-11 House seat?No53795.6¢100¢$537+$23$0
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026?No53188.8¢96.5¢$512+$40+$15
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes2,12323.9¢18.5¢$393−$115−$363
Will Raman Sharma win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No37890¢97.5¢$369+$28$0
Will Jodi Murphy win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No30888.2¢96.6¢$297+$26$0
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026?Yes42759.1¢68¢$290+$38+$23
Will Bill Desrosiers win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No26288¢98.2¢$257+$27$0
Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes34668.7¢73.5¢$254+$16$0
Will NDP win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Yes51451.8¢45.5¢$234−$33$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes46743.5¢47.5¢$222+$19+$7.60
Will Claire Rattée win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No19085.6¢94¢$179+$16$0
Will John Cornyn endorse James Talarico in the Texas Senate Election?No18584.1¢96.1¢$178+$22$0
Will Iain Black win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No18283.3¢89.6¢$163+$12+$15
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes29548.1¢55¢$162+$20+$137
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?No28846.3¢54.5¢$157+$24+$28
Will James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No16292¢95.5¢$155+$5.67$0
Will Sheldon Clare win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No17387.2¢86.8¢$151−$0.74$0
Will Jordan Simmons win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No15987.1¢93.5¢$148+$10$0
Will Stockwell Day win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?No14493.6¢86.5¢$124−$10$0
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?Yes1,0579.7¢11.5¢$122+$20−$9.45
Will Lakhwinder Jhaj win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?No8798¢98¢$85−$0.04+$5.04
Will Lisa Beare win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes12562.5¢67¢$84+$5.60$0
Will Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No7584.1¢82¢$61−$1.54$0
Will Harman Preet Singh win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No8490¢72.5¢$61−$15$0
Will Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No8290.2¢74.5¢$61−$13$0
Will Susan Einarsson win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No6190¢95.5¢$58+$3.35$0
Will Bryan Fockler win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No6790¢71¢$48−$13$0
Will Kaden Mann win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No6492¢71.5¢$46−$13$0
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia?No10050.9¢42¢$42−$8.95+$44
Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?Yes24629.8¢16¢$39−$34−$5.45
Will NDP win the third most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No4095¢96.2¢$38+$0.46$0
Will Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes4041¢62.5¢$25+$8.60$0
Will Oliver Wildfong win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?No2785.7¢89¢$24+$0.90$0
Will Conservative win the most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?No3051¢47.5¢$14−$1.05$0
Will Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2050¢67¢$13+$3.40$0
Will Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2050¢44¢$8.80−$1.20$0
Will Amna Shah win the next Surrey City Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2026¢43¢$8.60+$3.40$0
Will the biggest earthquake on October 8, 2026 be 5.3 to 5.4?No1099¢85.3¢$8.53−$1.38$0
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?Yes2024¢31.5¢$6.30+$1.50$0
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?Yes9610.5¢6.5¢$6.24−$3.82$0
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?No20611¢1.5¢$3.09−$20−$7.38
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No565.1¢34.1¢$1.61−$1.47−$0.56
Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?Yes5916.6¢1.8¢$1.03−$8.73−$28
Will Rebecca Bligh win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes7320.8¢0.1¢$0.37−$5.52$0
Will Colleen Hardwick win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes2354.9¢0.1¢$0.12−$11$0
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?Yes3895.5¢0¢$0−$21−$2.98
Will Nancy Joannette win the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election?Yes2961.6¢0¢$0−$4.73−$0.19
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election?No11655.2¢0¢$0−$64−$73
Will the CAQ win 30 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes8738.4¢0¢$0−$33−$4.21
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes868¢0¢$0−$6.88$0
Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes506¢0¢$0−$3.00$0
Will a 8.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by September 30?Yes364.6¢0¢$0−$1.63$0
Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?Yes1627.6¢0¢$0−$4.42−$0.13

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Jessie Sunner win the next Surrey-Newton British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?50¢20$1068%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Priyan Samarakoone win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?83.4¢306$25568%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Carolyn Hofbauer win the next Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90.3¢78$7168%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?92¢18$1768%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Terry Yung win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?48¢20$9.6068%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Sam Chandola win the next Vancouver-Yaletown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?87.3¢80$7068%79Sharp
BUY NoWill John Atoyebi win the next Vancouver-Langara British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?92¢62$5768%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Brennan Day win the next Courtenay-Comox British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?50¢20$1068%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Blair Visscher win the next Vernon-Lumby British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90¢146$13168%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Gordon Zhang win the next Richmond-Steveston British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?41¢40$1668%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?91¢19$1768%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Kaden Mann win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?92¢64$5968%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Valerie Morrison win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90¢63$5768%79Sharp
BUY YesWill Ryan Peterson win the next Coquitlam-Burke Mountain British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?50¢20$1068%79Sharp
BUY NoWill James Yaroshuk win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?92¢162$14968%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Jodi Murphy win the next Surrey-Guildford British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?88.2¢308$27268%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Susan Einarsson win the next Maple Ridge-Pitt Meadows British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90¢61$5568%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Bryan Fockler win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90¢67$6168%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?90¢21$1968%79Sharp
BUY NoWill Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election?81.7¢54$4468%79Sharp