sharpside
LIVE--:--:-- UTCdata as of —24h vol —trades —whale trades —markets —Polymarket flow, ranked — who’s sharp, who’s early, where size is moving.
Traders/Rank #4,195

Hannah-Montana

0x521…db60
WR 60+1y+PoliticsOtherSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$27.2kvol $2.26M
PnL 30d+$6,426gains $8,685 · losses $37.4k
PnL 7d+$4,644win rate 7d 47.2%
Win rate67.1%adj 66.4% · 30d 61.6%
Open value$81.8kcash n/a
Positions32 / 460open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.1ylast trade 11h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$14.8kbelow peak −$25.2kOct 9

SharpScore inputs

38/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 67.1% · shrunk toward 50%66
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable89
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Noopen+$22.0kFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$5,939Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · Yesclosed+$3,450Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · Noclosed+$3,426Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$3,305

Worst markets

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yesopen−$22.0kWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yesclosed−$20.3kWill Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? · Noclosed−$7,800Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yesclosed−$6,827Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? · Yesclosed−$6,300

Open positions · 32

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No73.0k50¢80.2¢$58.5k+$22.0k$0
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes73.0k50¢19.9¢$14.5k−$22.0k$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No4,25556¢57¢$2,425+$43−$18
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?Yes2,16866¢68.5¢$1,485+$53$0
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No1,13673¢87.5¢$994+$165$0
Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?No89289¢97.3¢$868+$74$0
Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary?No90273¢77.5¢$699+$41$0
Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?No1,00060¢45.5¢$455−$145$0
Will Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?No32089¢92.5¢$296+$11$0
Will OpenRouter process 185T or more tokens the week of October 5?No29875¢98.8¢$294+$71$0
Will SDP BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes25256.1¢85¢$214+$73$0
Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes66051.8¢30.9¢$204−$138−$3.19
Will OpenRouter process between 575T and 625T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?No21271¢82.5¢$175+$24$0
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes17536.9¢60.5¢$106+$41$0
Will OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?Yes27526¢35.5¢$98+$26$0
Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?No9381.9¢97.6¢$91+$15$0
Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes17533.8¢50.6¢$88+$29+$82
Will OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?No8282¢86.6¢$71+$3.73$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes1,7951.4¢3.3¢$58+$33$0
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes14056.7¢30.5¢$43−$37−$33
Will HDZ BiH win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?Yes32457.2¢13¢$42−$143$0
Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Yes25732.6¢10.5¢$27−$57$0
Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?No2094¢100¢$20+$1.19$0
Will the next Claude Opus model (5.6+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?No2078¢74¢$15−$0.80$0
Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes2054¢66.5¢$13+$2.50$0
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes2045¢61¢$12+$3.20$0
Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?No2058¢50.5¢$10−$1.50$0
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?Yes2034¢49.5¢$9.90+$3.10$0
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?Yes6017¢11.5¢$6.86−$3.28$0
Will Google have the best AI Agent at the end of November 2026?Yes1136.9¢4.1¢$4.63−$3.22$0
Will OpenRouter process between 155T and 165T tokens the week of October 5?Yes722¢35¢$2.48+$0.92$0
Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?Yes20191.7¢0.3¢$0.60−$184$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?36.9¢175$6567%38
BUY YesWill Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?36.7¢85$3167%38
SELL YesWill Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?14.3¢404$5867%38
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?90¢250$22567%38
BUY NoWill Mistral Large 4 debut at a score of at least 1430 by June 30, 2027?89¢320$28567%38
SELL YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?34.3¢142$4967%38
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?58¢20$1267%38
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process between 575T and 625T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?71¢212$15167%38
BUY YesWill Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?8.6¢185$1667%38
BUY YesWill Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?31¢312$9767%38
BUY NoWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?36¢119$4367%38
BUY YesWill Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?0.2¢149$0.3067%38
BUY YesWill Anthropic have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?45¢20$9.0067%38
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?87.5¢142$12467%38
BUY YesWill OpenRouter process between 165T and 175T tokens the week of October 5?26¢275$7267%38
BUY NoWill OpenRouter process less than 155T tokens the week of October 5?82¢82$6767%38
BUY NoWill Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?58.8¢313$18467%38
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?59.1¢313$18567%38
BUY YesWill OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?54.2¢396$21567%38
BUY YesWill Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?53¢20$1167%38