PnL all-time+$56.1kvol $8.29M
PnL 30d−$415gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$468win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate64.9%adj 63.9% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$30.3kcash n/a
Positions8 / 275open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.6ylast trade 5mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$72.0kbelow peak −$3,250Oct 8
SharpScore inputs
43/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale68
Adjusted win rateraw 64.9% · shrunk toward 50%60
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable81
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | No | 19.5k | 39.5¢ | 87.5¢ | $17.1k | +$9,359 | $0 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 11.1k | 40¢ | 84.5¢ | $9,418 | +$4,956 | +$17 | |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | Yes | 3,427 | 41.9¢ | 83¢ | $2,845 | +$1,408 | $0 | |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 979 | 70¢ | 95.5¢ | $935 | +$250 | $0 | |
| Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 20 | 46¢ | 89.5¢ | $18 | +$8.86 | $0 | |
| Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 10 | 50¢ | 93¢ | $9.30 | +$4.30 | $0 | |
| Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | No | 8 | 50¢ | 89.5¢ | $7.16 | +$3.16 | $0 | |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | No | 13.3k | 37.1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,933 | −$1,220 |
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