sharpside
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Traders/Rank #8,062

AxelTapper

0x52c…7f93
Politics
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$5.85vol $19.6k
PnL 30d+$237gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$214win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate100.0%adj 52.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$5,088cash n/a
Positions32 / 33open / all-time
Max drawdown0%of equity peak
Account age2molast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

Not enough history to draw an equity curve.

SharpScore inputs

25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale11
Adjusted win rateraw 100.0% · shrunk toward 50%31
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable51
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity100

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 31

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes1,95028.2¢31¢$605+$54$0
Blue tsunami in 2026?Yes91358.8¢63.5¢$580+$43$0
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes1,18042.3¢49¢$578+$79$0
Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?Yes1,25023.4¢31.5¢$394+$102$0
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Yes55055¢63¢$347+$44$0
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes1,14334.4¢24.6¢$281−$113$0
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes59534.9¢40.5¢$241+$33$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?Yes40036¢45.5¢$182+$38$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes46021.9¢31.5¢$145+$44$0
Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?Yes27836¢46¢$128+$28$0
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes63715.3¢17.3¢$110+$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes53019¢20.5¢$109+$8.15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?Yes42523.2¢25¢$106+$7.48$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Yes66715.5¢15.5¢$103+$0.08$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes47521.7¢19.5¢$93−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?Yes61016.9¢15¢$92−$11$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?Yes31032¢29¢$90−$9.30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-21 House seat?Yes71513.9¢12.2¢$87−$12$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes53019¢16¢$85−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes64015.9¢13¢$83−$19$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-26 House seat?Yes61016.9¢13.5¢$82−$21$0
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes61016¢13.5¢$82−$15$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-11 House seat?Yes60016.9¢12.5¢$75−$27$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes54018.1¢13¢$70−$28$0
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?Yes60016.2¢11.5¢$69−$28$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?Yes25020.1¢21¢$53+$2.14$0
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate final round by 3%-6%?Yes20017.9¢25.2¢$50+$15$0
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?Yes25022¢20¢$50−$5.00$0
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?Yes53311.6¢8.6¢$46−$16$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes12033¢35¢$42+$2.40$0
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes20020.6¢15.8¢$32−$9.60$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesWill Democrats win all "core four" senate races?55¢550$303100%25
BUY YesWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?8.7¢200$17100%25
BUY YesBlue mega-tsunami in 2026?23.4¢1,250$292100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢70$11100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?43¢30$13100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢140$22100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?43¢300$129100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢200$32100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?42¢250$105100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢100$16100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?42¢400$168100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢50$8.00100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?16¢50$8.00100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?42¢200$84100%25
BUY YesWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?19.9¢50$9.97100%25
BUY YesWill Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms?36.6¢189$69100%25
BUY YesWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?28¢307$86100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?20¢210$42100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?22¢250$55100%25
BUY YesWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 0%-5%?36¢400$144100%25