sharpside
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Traders/Rank #2,026

Myway

0x52f…e1c7
PnL 10k+1y+PoliticsSport
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$39.5kvol $2.22M
PnL 30d+$1,756gains $4,710 · losses $655
PnL 7d+$1,221win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate58.7%adj 58.1% · 30d 57.1%
Open value$15.6kcash n/a
Positions69 / 321open / all-time
Max drawdown−16.7%of equity peak
Account age1.3ylast trade 12h ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$43.4kbelow peak −$1,895Oct 9

SharpScore inputs

70/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale66
Adjusted win rateraw 58.7% · shrunk toward 50%45
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable84
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d98
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity83

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 69

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No11.8k48.6¢56.5¢$6,684+$934+$54
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No4,08639.2¢54¢$2,207+$607$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Yes3,72753.7¢57.5¢$2,143+$143$0
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No2,22667.4¢92.5¢$2,059+$559$0
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes3,66241¢41.5¢$1,520+$20$0
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?Yes5,41512.9¢9.5¢$514−$186$0
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes1,59031.4¢23.5¢$374−$126−$350
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes3,5702¢2¢$71+$1.41$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?No50.0k0.4¢0¢$0−$200$0
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No50.0k0.2¢0¢$0−$100$0
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No7,2243.1¢0¢$0−$225+$609
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?Yes6,4523.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?No5,66156.3¢0¢$0−$3,189−$2.86
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?No5,56431.5¢0¢$0−$1,750$0
US forces enter Iran by April 30?No5,55636¢0¢$0−$2,000+$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?Yes4,80541.6¢0¢$0−$2,000$0
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?Yes4,4948.9¢0¢$0−$400−$899
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?No3,88122.7¢0¢$0−$880$0
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No3,85230¢0¢$0−$1,155−$3,337
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No3,41344¢0¢$0−$1,500−$476
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No2,92423.9¢0¢$0−$700$0
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?Yes2,78814.3¢0¢$0−$400$0
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026?No2,68048.5¢0¢$0−$1,300$0
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes2,5865.8¢0¢$0−$150−$4.24
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?No2,57938.8¢0¢$0−$1,000$0
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?No2,3658.5¢0¢$0−$202$0
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?Yes2,3278.6¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?No2,30813¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No2,00010¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?Yes1,93825.8¢0¢$0−$500−$11
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 17, 2026?No1,87116¢0¢$0−$300$0
GPT ads by March 31?No1,8525.4¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes1,85227¢0¢$0−$500−$11
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,7545.7¢0¢$0−$100−$2.83
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No1,72928.9¢0¢$0−$500+$627
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1,62218.5¢0¢$0−$300−$7.33
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No1,38643.3¢0¢$0−$600$0
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes1,29223.2¢0¢$0−$300−$6.91
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No1,25739.8¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No1,19216.8¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes1,19042¢0¢$0−$500−$15
United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceUnited States1,15452¢0¢$0−$600−$8.64
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes1,12626.7¢0¢$0−$300$0
Adam Hložek: 1+ goalsYes1,1110.9¢0¢$0−$10.00−$0.30
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes1,04219.2¢0¢$0−$200$0
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 Senegal?Yes1,04214.4¢0¢$0−$150−$3.85
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026?No1,03348.4¢0¢$0−$500$0
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes1,0008¢0¢$0−$80$0
US x Saudi security agreement by November 30?No95936.5¢0¢$0−$350$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 22?No95131.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?Yes90211.1¢0¢$0−$100$0
Israel parliament dissolved in 2025?Yes82514.7¢0¢$0−$121$0
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina82061¢0¢$0−$500−$5.85
Will Israel strike Yemen 1 times by October 31?Yes7451.3¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 6?Yes73940.6¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump say "Jew" or "Jewish" 10+ times during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?No73827.1¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Yes73534¢0¢$0−$250−$8.25
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 14?Yes72041.7¢0¢$0−$300$0
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?No65246¢0¢$0−$300$0
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to ScoreYes5569¢0¢$0−$50−$1.36
Portugal vs. Spain: Neither team to score first?Yes54212¢0¢$0−$65−$1.72
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina5269.5¢0¢$0−$50−$2.26
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes49351¢0¢$0−$252−$223
Will Trump say "Nazi" or "Holocaust" during the Hanukkah Reception event on Tuesday?No44644.9¢0¢$0−$200$0
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?No28834.7¢0¢$0−$100$0
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes9851¢0¢$0−$50−$0.98
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 20?No4721.2¢0¢$0−$10.00$0
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 11?Yes3643¢0¢$0−$16$0
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?No1354¢0¢$0−$6.89+$1,070

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?57¢1,754$1,00059%70
BUY YesWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?1.5¢1,333$2059%70
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?51¢980$50059%70
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?41¢3,662$1,50059%70
BUY YesUS x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?50.4¢992$50059%70
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?56.9¢2,635$1,50059%70
BUY NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?53.8¢930$50059%70
BUY YesWill Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?2.2¢2,237$5059%70
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?37.7¢265$10059%70
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?93.7¢918$86059%70
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?40.8¢2,449$1,00059%70
SELL NoWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?47.3¢2,759$1,30459%70
SELL NoNetanyahu out by end of 2026?49¢7,865$3,85459%70
BUY YesIran full airspace closure by December 31?31.4¢1,590$50059%70
BUY NoWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?36.4¢1,372$50059%70
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?85.4¢1,200$1,02559%70
SELL NoIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?87.7¢2,038$1,78759%70
SELL NoUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?90¢1,588$1,42959%70
SELL YesIran full airspace closure by December 31?23¢7,169$1,65059%70
BUY NoIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?15.7¢318$5059%70