PnL all-time−$35vol $146k
PnL 30d−$4.11gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d+$10win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate51.6%adj 51.4% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$643cash n/a
Positions8 / 156open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age10molast trade 3mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$13below peak −$966Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
26/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 51.6% · shrunk toward 50%28
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable73
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? · Yesclosed+$547Will Iran strike Oman again in March? · Yesclosed+$493Will CA Bucaramanga win on 2026-02-15? · Noclosed+$277Will Starmer say "Urgent" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event? · Yesclosed+$272Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5 · Underclosed+$263
Worst markets
Will Milena Moreira be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26? · Noclosed−$585Nothing Ever Happens: March · Somethingclosed−$465Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15? · Noclosed−$359Blackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers · Blackburn Beaversclosed−$285Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28? · Noclosed−$282
Open positions · 8
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 | No | 352 | 71.1¢ | 82¢ | $289 | +$39 | −$37 | |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 288 | 65¢ | 100¢ | $288 | +$101 | +$42 | |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 116 | 48¢ | 46.5¢ | $54 | −$1.74 | −$0.18 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | Yes | 30 | 50¢ | 27.5¢ | $8.25 | −$6.75 | −$10 | |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? | Yes | 60 | 16¢ | 5.5¢ | $3.30 | −$6.30 | +$21 | |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 23¢ | 55¢ | $0.55 | +$0.32 | +$1.43 | |
| New pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 1 | 13¢ | 4.5¢ | $0.04 | −$0.09 | −$0.45 | |
| Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? | Yes | 1 | 19¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$0.19 | +$4.45 |
Recent trades
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