PnL all-time+$4,407vol $69.7k
PnL 30d−$150gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d−$98win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate45.0%adj 47.5% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$10.4kcash n/a
Positions9 / 30open / all-time
Max drawdown−56.6%of equity peak
Account age9molast trade 7mo ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL+$4,612below peak −$152Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
25/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale52
Adjusted win rateraw 45.0% · shrunk toward 50%19
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable49
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity43
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Worst markets
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$1,020Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by January 31? · Yesclosed−$500Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by March 31? · Yesclosed−$416Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? · Yesopen−$325Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026? · Noclosed−$320
Open positions · 9
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 9,000 | 32¢ | 100¢ | $9,000 | +$6,120 | +$124 | |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | Yes | 1,000 | 62¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$380 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 606 | 28.2¢ | 62¢ | $375 | +$204 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | 1,000 | 0.9¢ | 1¢ | $9.50 | +$0.50 | $0 | |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | Yes | 3,600 | 2¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$73 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026? | Yes | 984 | 13.3¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$131 | $0 | |
| Odds of Khamenei out in Jan over 20% on Friday? | Yes | 500 | 65¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$325 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 12, 2026? | Yes | 160 | 76¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$122 | $0 | |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 13, 2026? | Yes | 140 | 72.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$102 | $0 |
Recent trades
auto-refresh 30s