PnL all-time−$174vol $510k
PnL 30d$0gains $0 · losses $0
PnL 7d$0win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate40.7%adj 42.0% · 30d 0.0%
Open value$1,000cash n/a
Positions3 / 123open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age2.3ylast trade 1y ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$174below peak −$1,386Oct 12
SharpScore inputs
20/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 40.7% · shrunk toward 50%5
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable70
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Will Biden finish his term? · Yesclosed+$9,077Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting? · Yesclosed+$1,948Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting? · Noclosed+$1,686Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC? · Noclosed+$1,683Will Israel invade Lebanon in September? · Yesclosed+$1,476
Worst markets
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$8,289Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$3,149Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election? · Noclosed−$2,010Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election? · Yesclosed−$1,530Will the debate have 60-65 million viewers? · Yesclosed−$1,057
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Yes | 1,000 | 39.6¢ | 100¢ | $1,000 | +$604 | $0 | |
| Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey? | Yes | 7,032 | 4.9¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$345 | $0 | |
| Will George Simion win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election? | Yes | 955 | 10.5¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$100 | $0 |
Recent trades
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