PnL all-time−$3,026vol $73.9k
PnL 30d+$228gains $1,132 · losses $300
PnL 7d+$25win rate 7d 0.0%
Win rate87.2%adj 74.6% · 30d 72.7%
Open value$9,244cash n/a
Positions3 / 46open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age8molast trade 13d ago
Equity curve · cumulative PnL
PnL−$2,958below peak −$3,578Oct 13
SharpScore inputs
28/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 87.2% · shrunk toward 50%86
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable55
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d53
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0
Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.
Best markets
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$1,001US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026? · Yesclosed+$304Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? · Yesclosed+$110Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? · Noclosed+$99Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Noclosed+$88
Worst markets
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · Noopen−$4,372Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yesclosed−$380Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Noclosed−$285Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Noclosed−$23Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yesclosed−$12
Open positions · 3
| Market | Outcome | Avg entry | Now | Realized | Ends | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia coup attempt in 2026? | No | 7,914 | 95.9¢ | 96.6¢ | $7,641 | +$53 | $0 | |
| Plague pandemic in 2026? | No | 1,642 | 97.1¢ | 97.7¢ | $1,603 | +$9.03 | $0 | |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | No | 4,563 | 95.8¢ | 0¢ | $0 | −$4,372 | $0 |
Recent trades
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