sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

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0x544…18f6
SharpPnL 10k+WR 60+1y+PoliticsSportCulture
Polymarket
PnL all-time+$21.3kvol $730k
PnL 30d+$715gains $1,309 · losses $117
PnL 7d+$232win rate 7d 80.0%
Win rate63.1%adj 62.6% · 30d 85.3%
Open value$25.0kcash n/a
Positions279 / 916open / all-time
Max drawdown−14.3%of equity peak
Account age4.7ylast trade 2d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL+$22.5kbelow peak −$123Oct 11

SharpScore inputs

72/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale62
Adjusted win rateraw 63.1% · shrunk toward 50%57
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable99
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d91
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity86

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 100

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No96481.4¢89.9¢$867+$82$0
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No52782.8¢96¢$506+$69$0
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-02 House seat?No58574¢86¢$503+$70$0
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes78916.3¢62¢$489+$360+$44
Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?No47792¢98.4¢$470+$31$0
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?No47478.3¢93¢$441+$70+$7.86
Will the Republican Party win the NY-02 House seat?Yes50280¢86¢$432+$30$0
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-02 House seat?Yes45087¢94.5¢$425+$34$0
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?No70141.1¢50.5¢$354+$66+$31
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No80034¢41.5¢$332+$60$0
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?No33085.1¢91¢$300+$19$0
Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes3025.5¢99¢$299+$282+$25
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?No30279.8¢97.2¢$294+$52+$3.87
Will Waymo launch in Denver, CO by December 31 2026?Yes35987.5¢79.5¢$286−$29$0
Will The Odyssey win Best Original Score at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes49741.6¢56¢$278+$71+$32
Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes35764.3¢74.5¢$266+$36$0
Will Jordan Love finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most passing yards?No26686.9¢96¢$255+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the NE-01 House seat?Yes30084¢83¢$249−$3.00$0
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes29879¢83.5¢$249+$13$0
Will Digger win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No30676.5¢79.5¢$243+$9.17$0
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No27278.9¢89.1¢$242+$28−$39
Will the Republican Party win the OR-02 House seat?Yes25591¢95¢$242+$10$0
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-03 House seat?Yes25092¢96¢$240+$9.88$0
Will the Democratic Party win the KS-03 House seat?Yes25188¢95.4¢$240+$19$0
Will Renee Rapp win Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No24084.4¢99.2¢$238+$35+$13
Will the Republican Party win the WI-07 House seat?Yes25185¢94.5¢$237+$24$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes24290¢97.2¢$235+$17$0
US recession by end of 2026?No24984¢93.5¢$233+$24$0
Will Ousmane Dembélé score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?No25078.8¢90.5¢$226+$29$0
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1,12942.4¢20¢$226−$253$0
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat?Yes24183¢92¢$222+$22$0
Will Tony Pollard have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No29859¢74¢$221+$45$0
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-16 House seat?No23090¢95.2¢$219+$12$0
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?No26813.1¢80.5¢$216+$181+$136
Will The Art of Loving (Olivia Dean) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No25077.1¢81.9¢$205+$12−$12
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes24784¢81.5¢$201−$6.17$0
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?No25177¢80¢$201+$7.53$0
Will The Romantic (Bruno Mars) win Album of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No20288.7¢98.5¢$199+$20$0
Will Josh Fryday win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?No20174.7¢98.5¢$198+$48$0
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine?No2850¢69.5¢$198+$198$0
Will LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?No20190¢98¢$197+$16$0
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy?No22077¢88.7¢$195+$26$0
Will Dan S. Sullivan win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 9%-12%?No20186¢96.6¢$194+$21$0
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026?No19788.6¢97.9¢$193+$18$0
Will American Doctor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No20162.3¢94.5¢$190+$65+$22
Will the Republican Party win the MN-08 House seat?Yes21870¢86.5¢$189+$36+$42
Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska Senate first round by 0%-3%?No26072.5¢72¢$187−$1.37$0
Will Notre Dame be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes21329.6¢86.5¢$184+$121$0
Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?No19869¢93¢$184+$48$0
Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by December 31?No24378.7¢71.5¢$174−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AK-AL House seat?No17685¢98¢$172+$23$0
Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North?No22175¢77¢$170+$4.42$0
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No16687.9¢96.9¢$161+$15−$8.68
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-10 House seat?No18872¢85.5¢$160+$25$0
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes50616¢31.5¢$159+$78$0
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes1,02165.6¢15.5¢$158−$512−$21
Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes19079¢81.5¢$155+$4.75$0
Will Austria participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes15782.7¢95.6¢$150+$20$0
Will Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?No20183.3¢73.5¢$147−$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-04 House seat?Yes17074¢85.5¢$145+$20$0
Will the Republican Party win the TN-08 House seat?Yes15082¢95.6¢$143+$20$0
Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Yes39740¢35.5¢$141−$18$0
Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes18069.4¢77¢$139+$14$0
Will Phil Murphy be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?No14390.9¢96¢$138+$7.29+$41
Will Alex Ovechkin record 30+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?No20166¢68.5¢$138+$5.03$0
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?Yes24043¢56.5¢$136+$32$0
Will Waymo launch in Baltimore, MD by December 31 2026?No14077.1¢96.3¢$135+$27$0
Will the Republican Party win the SC-02 House seat?Yes15580¢86.5¢$134+$10$0
Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes20039¢65.5¢$131+$53$0
Will Werwulf win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No18583¢70.8¢$131−$23$0
Anduril IPO before 2027?No13280¢97.6¢$129+$23$0
Will A.J. Brown have 7.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No15076¢83.5¢$125+$11$0
Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?Yes26565.8¢46.5¢$123−$51+$48
Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?No20167¢60.5¢$122−$13$0
Will Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?No17060¢71.5¢$122+$20$0
Will Charles Melton win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?No12090.9¢99.4¢$119+$10$0
Will Ashton Jeanty finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?No17571¢66¢$116−$8.75$0
Will One in a Million win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?No12674.4¢91.5¢$115+$22$0
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes67732.3¢17¢$115−$104+$0.02
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes20238.6¢56.5¢$114+$36$0
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No19151¢59.5¢$114+$16$0
Will the Miami Dolphins be the last winless team of the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes31429.7¢36¢$113+$20$0
Will Travis Scott release an album in 2026?Yes26053.7¢41.5¢$108−$32$0
Will Clark Lea win 2026 NCAA Coach of the Year?No10790.8¢96.5¢$103+$6.01$0
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes52230¢19.5¢$102−$55$0
Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No12379.8¢81.5¢$100+$2.14$0
Will De'Von Achane finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?No10286.4¢98¢$100+$12$0
Will Miami (FL) be Ranked #1 during the 2026-27 CFB season?Yes27538.8¢35¢$96−$10+$6.22
Will Justin Jefferson finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most receiving yards?No10077¢95.9¢$96+$19$0
Will the Vegas Golden Knights make the 2026-27 NHL Playoffs?Yes11461¢84¢$96+$26$0
Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2027?Yes35012.8¢27.1¢$95+$50+$6.20
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?Yes19544.6¢48.5¢$94+$7.63+$19
Will A.J. Brown have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes49626.1¢19¢$94−$35−$16
Will Aaron Rodgers have 24.5+ passing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes19427¢48.5¢$94+$42$0
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?No11626.4¢80.6¢$93+$63$0
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?No13269¢70.5¢$93+$1.98$0
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?Yes20032¢45.5¢$91+$27$0
Will I Love Boosters win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?No9883¢92.4¢$91+$9.21$0
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange?Yes10282.7¢88¢$90+$5.44$0
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes60843.7¢14.5¢$88−$177$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
BUY NoWill LA Galaxy win the 2026 MLS Western Conference?90¢201$18163%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?88¢180$15863%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Brandon Hagel record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?27¢148$4063%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Ashton Jeanty have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?9.9¢40$3.9563%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Clayface win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards?89.8¢32$2963%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Joey McGuire win 2026 NCAA Coach of the Year?84.8¢38$3263%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Bijan Robinson be the highest-scoring RB of the 2026-27 NFL season?60¢170$10263%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Ashton Jeanty have 11.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?7.4¢50$3.6963%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Robert Pattinson win Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?16.1¢60$9.6663%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Waymo launch in Philadelphia, PA by December 31 2026?83.3¢201$16763%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?17¢114$1963%72Sharp
SELL NoWill Grüne be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?92.9¢81$7563%72Sharp
BUY YesWill Spain win the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League?37¢60$2263%72Sharp
BUY YesFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2027?32¢200$6463%72Sharp
BUY NoWill the 2026 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix take place?23¢163$3763%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Gavin Newsom win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?72.4¢77$5663%72Sharp
SELL NoVanta IPO before 2027?98.4¢54$5363%72Sharp
SELL YesWill Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?95¢14$1363%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Ashton Jeanty finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?71¢175$12463%72Sharp
BUY NoWill Kenneth Walker III finish as a top-5 RB in the 2026-27 NFL season?10.7¢183$2063%72Sharp