sharpside
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Traders/Unranked

Laurenman

0x54a…881b
WR 70+WR 60+1y+PoliticsOther
Polymarket
PnL all-time−$62.7kvol $19.0M
PnL 30d−$493gains $642 · losses $3,247
PnL 7d+$61win rate 7d 75.0%
Win rate76.1%adj 75.0% · 30d 60.0%
Open value$2,245cash n/a
Positions35 / 1,398open / all-time
Max drawdown−100.0%of equity peak
Account age1.1ylast trade 30d ago

Equity curve · cumulative PnL

PnL−$60.4kbelow peak −$77.6kOct 12

SharpScore inputs

35/ 100 SharpScore · v1
Profitabilityall-time PnL, log scale0
Adjusted win rateraw 76.1% · shrunk toward 50%88
Sample sizepositions — more = more reliable100
Recencylast trade; fades over 30d0
Drawdown controlmax peak-to-trough of equity0

Each input normalised to 0–100. The score blends them; weights are versioned server-side.

Best markets

Worst markets

Open positions · 35

MarketOutcomeAvg entryNowRealizedEnds
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes2,09588.5¢74.3¢$1,555−$298−$152
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?No48797.6¢98¢$478+$1.96−$0.34
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?No7994.2¢95¢$75+$0.58+$32
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?No7096.5¢96.4¢$67−$0.09+$10
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?No9856.5¢56¢$55−$0.54−$32
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?No1484¢88¢$12+$0.54$0
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?No475¢77.5¢$2.71+$0.09$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?No7,06084.4¢0¢$0−$5,959+$34
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 in June?No1,68473.3¢0¢$0−$1,235−$11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?Yes1,63452¢0¢$0−$849−$245
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No1,54477.5¢0¢$0−$1,197+$157
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?No1,53652.9¢0¢$0−$812+$23
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No1,50062.7¢0¢$0−$940$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes1,19494.1¢0¢$0−$1,124−$2,106
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in June?No1,01542¢0¢$0−$426+$22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?No79150.9¢0¢$0−$402−$8.55
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No72991.4¢0¢$0−$667−$1,012
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?No42596.9¢0¢$0−$411$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETUp41796¢0¢$0−$400−$11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on April 24?Yes39856¢0¢$0−$223$0
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 Week of June 8 2026?No30095¢0¢$0−$285−$0.57
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes20391¢0¢$0−$185−$30
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No20090.8¢0¢$0−$182+$9.97
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 1?Up20059¢0¢$0−$118$0
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 26?Up20048¢0¢$0−$96$0
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?Yes11479¢0¢$0−$90−$1,202
Will Enzo Fernandez stay at Chelsea?Yes8079.1¢0¢$0−$63$0
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22?No5452.9¢0¢$0−$28+$14
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes4583¢0¢$0−$37+$21
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No4294.3¢0¢$0−$39−$1,502
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 14?Down3846¢0¢$0−$17$0
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No2056¢0¢$0−$11−$0.15
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?Yes1591.5¢0¢$0−$14−$5,667
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No246.8¢0¢$0−$0.94+$21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes258¢0¢$0−$1.11$0

Recent trades

auto-refresh 30s
TimeSideMarketPriceSharesValueTrader WRSharpFlagsTransaction
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?69¢1,639$1,13176%35
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?69¢139$9676%35
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?70¢150$10576%35
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?68¢600$40876%35
SELL NoWill Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?88¢215$18976%35
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?70¢508$35576%35
SELL YesWill Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 La Liga season?76.6¢4,252$3,25776%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?93.8¢2,470$2,31776%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?85¢200$17076%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?94.4¢250$23676%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?94.5¢132$12576%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?95.5¢100$9676%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?84¢20$1776%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?84¢70$5976%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?95¢105$10076%35
SELL NoSpain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?94.4¢293$27776%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?84¢90$7676%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?95.9¢20$1976%35
BUY YesWill Khamenei post 0-4 posts from August 28 to September 4, 2026?82.4¢21$1776%35
SELL YesWill Emiliano Martinez join Chelsea?97.9¢2,366$2,31676%35